Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22864647›Full record

Trial reportPediatric cardiology2013

A predictive model for neurodevelopmental outcome after the Norwood procedure.

William T Mahle, Minmin Lu, Richard G Ohye, J William Gaynor, Caren S Goldberg, Lynn A Sleeper, Victoria L Pemberton, Kathleen A Mussatto, Ismee A Williams, Erica Sood and 9 more

Abstract readComparative StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Pediatric cardiology, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Technical performance score is associated with outcomes after the Norwood procedure.The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery · 2014
    Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Review
  5. Is There a Unified Etiology of Hypoplastic Left Heart Syndrome? Evaluating Genetic, Structural, and Hemodynamic Models of Disease Initiation.Pathophysiology : the official journal of the International Society for Pathophysiology · 2026
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Educational attainment of children with congenital heart disease in the United Kingdom.European heart journal. Quality of care & clinical outcomes · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Cognitive impairment in adult CHD survivors: A pilot study.International journal of cardiology. Congenital heart disease · 2021
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

William T MahleChildren's Healthcare of Atlanta and Emory University School of Medicine, 1405 Clifton Road NE, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA. MahleW@kidsheart.com
Minmin Lu
Richard G Ohye
J William Gaynor
Caren S Goldberg
Lynn A Sleeper
Victoria L Pemberton
Kathleen A Mussatto
Ismee A Williams
Erica Sood
Catherine Dent Krawczeski
Alan Lewis
Nicole Mirarchi
Mark Scheurer
Sara K Pasquali
Nelangi Pinto
Jeffrey P Jacobs
Brian W McCrindle
Jane W Newburger

Funding

Pediatric Heart network DCCU10HL068270 · NHLBI · NEW ENGLAND RESEARCH INSTITUTES, INC. · PI MILLER, JULIE ELAINE, TRACHTENBERG, FELICIA LYNN · 2011 to 2016
$44.9M
Ventricular Volumes and Varability (VVV)U01HL068270 · NHLBI · NEW ENGLAND RESEARCH INSTITUTES, INC. · PI SLEEPER, LYNN A · 2001 to 2010
$40.3M
SYNAPTIC MECHANISMS IN HIPPOCAMPAL EPILEPTOGENESISP30HD018655 · NICHD · CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL BOSTON · PI POMEROY, SCOTT LOREN · 1985 to 2015
$26.2M
Clincal and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000055 · NCATS · MEDICAL COLLEGE OF WISCONSIN · PI SHAKER, REZA NONE · 2012 to 2015
$11.3M
South Carolina Clinical & Translational Research Institute (SCTR)UL1TR000062 · NCATS · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI BRADY, KATHLEEN T. · 2012 to 2014
$9.4M
Pediatric Heart Network: Follow-up of the Single Ventricle Reconstruction TrialU01HL068290 · NHLBI · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI LAI, WYMAN W · 2001 to 2010
$4.1M
Pediatric Heart Disease Network: CHOP MembershipU01HL068279 · NHLBI · CHILDREN'S HOSP OF PHILADELPHIA · PI VETTER, VICTORIA L · 2001 to 2010
$3.7M
Randomized Therapeutic Trials in Pediatric Heart DiseaseU01HL068285 · NHLBI · CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL BOSTON · PI NEWBURGER, JANE W. · 2001 to 2010
$3.4M
Randomized Clinical Trials for Pediatric Heart DiseaseU01HL068281 · NHLBI · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI SAUL, J PHILIP · 2001 to 2010
$3.2M
Clinical and genomic responses to remote ischemic preconditioningU01HL068288 · NHLBI · HOSPITAL FOR SICK CHLDRN (TORONTO) · PI MCCRINDLE, BRIAN W · 2001 to 2010
$3.0M
Intermountain Pediatric Heart Disease Research CenterU01HL068292 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI MINICH, L. LUANN · 2001 to 2010
$2.7M
Randomized Trial of Nonflouroscopic Technologies in Pediatric SVT AblationU10HL109816 · NHLBI · BOSTON CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL · PI NEWBURGER, JANE W., TRIEDMAN, JOHN K · 2011 to 2015
$2.6M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000055NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000062NHLBI NIH HHS HL068269NHLBI NIH HHS HL068270NHLBI NIH HHS HL068279NHLBI NIH HHS HL068281NHLBI NIH HHS HL068285NHLBI NIH HHS HL068288NHLBI NIH HHS HL068290NHLBI NIH HHS HL068292NHLBI NIH HHS HL085057NHLBI NIH HHS K08 HL103631NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL068269NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL068270NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL068279NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL068281NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL068285NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL068288NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL068290NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL068292NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL085057NHLBI NIH HHS U10 HL068270NHLBI NIH HHS U10 HL109781NHLBI NIH HHS U10 HL109816NICHD NIH HHS P30 HD018655
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Neurodevelopmental outcomes after the Norwood procedure for single right ventricular lesions are worse than those in the normal population. It would be valuable to identify which patients at the time of Norwood discharge are at greatest risk for neurodevelopmental impairment later in childhood. As such, this study sought to construct and validate a model to predict poor neurodevelopmental outcome using variables readily available to the clinician. Using data from the 14 month neurodevelopmental outcome of the Single-Ventricle Reconstruction (SVR) trial, a classification and regression tree (CART) analysis model was developed to predict severe neurodevelopmental impairment, defined as a Psychomotor Development Index (PDI) score lower than 70 on the Bayley Scales of Infant Development-II. The model then was validated using data from subjects enrolled in the Infant Single Ventricle (ISV) trial. The PDI scores were lower than 70 for 138 (44 %) of 313 subjects. Predictors of a PDI lower than 70 were post-Norwood intensive care unit (ICU) stay longer than 46 days, genetic syndrome or other anomalies, birth weight less than 2.7 kg, additional cardiac surgical procedures, and use of five or more medications at hospital discharge. Using these risk factors, the CART model correctly identified 75 % of SVR subjects with a PDI lower than 70. When the CART model was applied to 70 subjects from the ISV trial, the correct classification rate was 67 %. This model of variables from the Norwood hospitalization can help to identify infants at risk for neurodevelopmental impairment. However, given the overall high prevalence of neurodevelopmental impairment and the fact that nearly one third of severely affected children would not have been identified by these risk factors, close surveillance and assessment for early intervention services are warranted for all infants after the Norwood procedure.

Indexed as

Child DevelopmentModels, NeurologicalNorwood ProceduresDevelopmental DisabilitiesFemaleHumansHypoplastic Left Heart SyndromeIncidenceInfantMaleNeuropsychological TestsPostoperative ComplicationsPrognosisRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSurvival Rate

Identifiers

PMID22864647
PMCPMC3505274

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.