Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22723414›Full record

ArticleScience (New York, N.Y.)2012

The potential for respiratory droplet-transmissible A/H5N1 influenza virus to evolve in a mammalian host.

Colin A Russell, Judith M Fonville, André E X Brown, David F Burke, David L Smith, Sarah L James, Sander Herfst, Sander van Boheemen, Martin Linster, Eefje J Schrauwen and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science (New York, N.Y.), 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 196 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
196citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
35.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

196 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 359 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Biosafety, biosecurity, and bioethics.Monash bioethics review · 2024
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article

136 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors at 6 institutions in 5 countries.

Colin A RussellDepartment of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Judith M Fonville
André E X Brown
David F Burke
David L Smith
Sarah L James
Sander Herfst
Sander van Boheemen
Martin Linster
Eefje J Schrauwen
Leah Katzelnick
Ana Mosterín
Thijs Kuiken
Eileen Maher
Gabriele Neumann
Albert D M E Osterhaus
Yoshihiro Kawaoka
Ron A M Fouchier
Derek J Smith
National Institutes of Health · USUniversity of Wisconsin–Madison · USUniversity of Cambridge · GBErasmus MC · NLUniversitat Pompeu Fabra · ESMRC Laboratory of Molecular Biology · GB

Funding

Transmissibility of avian influenza viruses in mammalsR01AI069274 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI KAWAOKA, YOSHIHIRO · 2006 to 2016
$5.5M
NIH Director's Pioneer Award:Antigenic Cartography (RMI)DP1OD000490 · OD · UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE · PI SMITH, DEREK JAMES · 2005 to 2009
$2.6M
Transmissibility of avian influenza viruses in mammalsR56AI069274 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI KAWAOKA, YOSHIHIRO · 2012 to 2012
$575k
NIAID NIH HHS HHSN266200700010CNIAID NIH HHS R01 AI 069274NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI069274NIAID NIH HHS R56 AI069274NIH HHS DP1 OD000490NIH HHS DP1-OD000490-01Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Avian A/H5N1 influenza viruses pose a pandemic threat. As few as five amino acid substitutions, or four with reassortment, might be sufficient for mammal-to-mammal transmission through respiratory droplets. From surveillance data, we found that two of these substitutions are common in A/H5N1 viruses, and thus, some viruses might require only three additional substitutions to become transmissible via respiratory droplets between mammals. We used a mathematical model of within-host virus evolution to study factors that could increase and decrease the probability of the remaining substitutions evolving after the virus has infected a mammalian host. These factors, combined with the presence of some of these substitutions in circulating strains, make a virus evolving in nature a potentially serious threat. These results highlight critical areas in which more data are needed for assessing, and potentially averting, this threat.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularAdaptation, PhysiologicalAir MicrobiologyAmino Acid SubstitutionAnimalsBirdsGenetic FitnessGlycosylationHemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza VirusHigh-Throughput Nucleotide SequencingHumansInfluenza A Virus, H5N1 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanInfluenza in BirdsMammalsModels, Biologicalhemagglutinin, avian influenza A virusHemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza VirusPB2 protein, Influenzavirus AReceptors, VirusRNA-Dependent RNA PolymeraseSialic AcidsViral Proteins

Identifiers

PMID22723414
PMCPMC3426314
OpenAlexW1992439635

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.