ArticleBMC public health2012
Simulating school closure policies for cost effective pandemic decision making.
Article in BMC public health, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
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Who cites it
20 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.
- The Economic Value of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions for Influenza and COVID-19: A Systematic Review.Applied health economics and health policy · 2026Pooled it
- A Systematic Review of the Costs Relating to Non-pharmaceutical Interventions Against Infectious Disease Outbreaks.Applied health economics and health policy · 2021Pooled it
- The effects of school closures on influenza outbreaks and pandemics: systematic review of simulation studies.PloS one · 2014Pooled it
- The role of economic evaluation in modelling public health and social measures for pandemic policy: a systematic review.Cost effectiveness and resource allocation : C/E · 2024Article
- Cost effectiveness of preemptive school closures to mitigate pandemic influenza outbreaks of differing severity in the United States.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Association of Insurance Type With Inpatient Surgery 30-Day Complications and Costs.The Journal of surgical research · 2023Article
- A decision analytic approach for social distancing policies during early stages of COVID-19 pandemic.Decision support systems · 2022Article
- De-escalation strategies for non-pharmaceutical interventions following infectious disease outbreaks: a rapid review and a proposed dynamic de-escalation framework.Globalization and health · 2021Review
- A Bayes Decision Rule to Assist Policymakers during a Pandemic.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Article
- Costs and benefits of interventions aimed at major infectious disease threats: lessons from the literature.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2020Review
- Impact of Social Distancing Measures on Coronavirus Disease Healthcare Demand, Central Texas, USA.Emerging infectious diseases · 2020Article
- Infectious disease pandemic planning and response: Incorporating decision analysis.PLoS medicine · 2020Review
- The importance of widespread testing for COVID-19 pandemic: systems thinking for drive-through testing sites.Health systems (Basingstoke, England) · 2020Article
- Article
- Ethics-sensitivity of the Ghana national integrated strategic response plan for pandemic influenza.BMC medical ethics · 2015Article
- Cost-Effective Control of Infectious Disease Outbreaks Accounting for Societal Reaction.PloS one · 2015Article
- FRED (a Framework for Reconstructing Epidemic Dynamics): an open-source software system for modeling infectious diseases and control strategies using census-based populations.BMC public health · 2013Article
- Impact of the 2009 influenza (H1N1) pandemic on the United States military health care system.Military medicine · 2013Article
- Dynamic modelling of costs and health consequences of school closure during an influenza pandemic.BMC public health · 2012Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundAround the globe, school closures were used sporadically to mitigate the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic. However, such closures can detrimentally impact economic and social life.
methodsHere, we couple a decision analytic approach with a mathematical model of influenza transmission to estimate the impact of school closures in terms of epidemiological and cost effectiveness. Our method assumes that the transmissibility and the severity of the disease are uncertain, and evaluates several closure and reopening strategies that cover a range of thresholds in school-aged prevalence (SAP) and closure durations.
resultsAssuming a willingness to pay per quality adjusted life-year (QALY) threshold equal to the US per capita GDP ($46,000), we found that the cost effectiveness of these strategies is highly dependent on the severity and on a willingness to pay per QALY. For severe pandemics, the preferred strategy couples the earliest closure trigger (0.5% SAP) with the longest duration closure (24 weeks) considered. For milder pandemics, the preferred strategies also involve the earliest closure trigger, but are shorter duration (12 weeks for low transmission rates and variable length for high transmission rates).
conclusionsThese findings highlight the importance of obtaining early estimates of pandemic severity and provide guidance to public health decision-makers for effectively tailoring school closures strategies in response to a newly emergent influenza pandemic.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.