Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22707806›Full record

ArticleEvolutionary biology2012

Goldilocks Meets Santa Rosalia: An Ephemeral Speciation Model Explains Patterns of Diversification Across Time Scales.

Erica Bree Rosenblum, Brice A J Sarver, Joseph W Brown, Simone Des Roches, Kayla M Hardwick, Tyler D Hether, Jonathan M Eastman, Matthew W Pennell, Luke J Harmon

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Evolutionary biology, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 86 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
86citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

86 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Speciation through chromosomal fusion and fission in Lepidoptera.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2020
    Pooled it
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  5. Conservation Units for Anadromous Arctic Char (Evolutionary applications · 2026
    Article
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  12. Reading Yule in light of the history and present of macroevolution.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  13. Speciation completion rates have limited impact on macroevolutionary diversification.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  14. Challenges in estimating species' age from phylogenetic trees.Global ecology and biogeography : a journal of macroecology · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. How Important Is Sexual Isolation to Speciation?Cold Spring Harbor perspectives in biology · 2024
    Review
  20. Article

26 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Erica Bree Rosenblum
Brice A J Sarver
Joseph W Brown
Simone Des Roches
Kayla M Hardwick
Tyler D Hether
Jonathan M Eastman
Matthew W Pennell
Luke J Harmon

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the rate at which new species form is a key question in studying the evolution of life on earth. Here we review our current understanding of speciation rates, focusing on studies based on the fossil record, phylogenies, and mathematical models. We find that speciation rates estimated from these different studies can be dramatically different: some studies find that new species form quickly and often, while others find that new species form much less frequently. We suggest that instead of being contradictory, differences in speciation rates across different scales can be reconciled by a common model. Under the "ephemeral speciation model", speciation is very common and very rapid but the new species produced almost never persist. Evolutionary studies should therefore focus on not only the formation but also the persistence of new species.

Identifiers

PMID22707806
PMCPMC3364415

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.