Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22648990›Full record

ArticleJournal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research2012

Change in hip bone mineral density and risk of subsequent fractures in older men.

Peggy M Cawthon, Susan K Ewing, Dawn C Mackey, Howard A Fink, Steven R Cummings, Kristine E Ensrud, Marcia L Stefanick, Doug C Bauer, Jane A Cauley, Eric S Orwoll and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Identification of Hip BMD Loss and Fracture Risk Markers Through Population-Based Serum Proteomics.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2017
    Trial
  2. Associations of muscle strength and functional power with longitudinal change in HR-pQCT bone parameters: the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) Study.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2026
    Article
  3. Observational
  4. The Osteoporotic Fractures in Men study (MrOS): a 25-yr landmark study of skeletal health in older men.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Site-specific volumetric skeletal changes in women with and without a distal forearm fracture: a case-control study with a mean 7-year follow-up.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Longitudinal Change in Bone Density, Geometry, and Estimated Bone Strength in Older Men and Women From The Gambia: Findings From the Gambian Bone and Muscle Aging Study (GamBAS).Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2023
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Analysis of the Associations Between the Human Fecal Microbiome and Bone Density, Structure, and Strength: The Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) Cohort.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Age-Related Changes in Bone Density, Microarchitecture, and Strength in Postmenopausal Black and White Women: The SWAN Longitudinal HR-pQCT Study.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2022
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Accelerated Bone Loss in Older Men: Effects on Bone Microarchitecture and Strength.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Peggy M CawthonResearch Institute, California Pacific Medical Center, San Francisco, CA, USA. pcawthon@sfcc-cpmc.net
Susan K Ewing
Dawn C Mackey
Howard A Fink
Steven R Cummings
Kristine E Ensrud
Marcia L Stefanick
Doug C Bauer
Jane A Cauley
Eric S Orwoll
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) Research Group

Funding

OREGON CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE INSTITUTEUL1RR024140 · NCRR · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ORWOLL, ERIC S. · 2006 to 2011
$61.1M
OSTEOPOROTIC FRACTURES IN MENU01AG018197 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN FRANCISCO · PI CUMMINGS, STEVEN RON · 1999 to 2011
$12.7M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) - San Francisco Coordinating CenterU01AR066160 · NIAMS · CALIFORNIA PACIFIC MED CTR RES INSTITUTE · PI CUMMINGS, STEVEN RON · 2013 to 2017
$9.3M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men: MrOS Renewal-PortlandU01AR045647 · NIAMS · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ORWOLL, ERIC S. · 1999 to 2011
$6.7M
Osteporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS)- Admin CenterU01AG027810 · NIA · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ORWOLL, ERIC S. · 2006 to 2017
$5.1M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men - Renewal: PittsburghU01AR045654 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI CAULEY, JANE ANN · 1999 to 2011
$5.1M
OSTEOPOROTIC FRACTURES IN MENU01AR045614 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI ENSRUD, KRISTINE · 1999 to 2011
$4.0M
Osteoporotic Fractures in MenU01AR045583 · NIAMS · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI STEFANICK, MARCIA L. · 1999 to 2011
$4.0M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men - MrOS RenewalU01AR045580 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI BARRETT-CONNOR, ELIZABETH L · 1999 to 2011
$3.9M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men- MrOS Renewal - BirminghamU01AR045632 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI SHIKANY, JAMES M · 1999 to 2011
$3.6M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men_MrOS Renewal_BirminghamU01AG042140 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI SHIKANY, JAMES M · 2013 to 2019
$2.7M
Biomarker Research in Musculoskeleton DiseaseK24AR051895 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI BAUER, DOUGLAS C · 2005 to 2015
$1.5M
NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024140NCRR NIH HHS UL1RR024140NIAMS NIH HHS K24 AR051895NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045580NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045583NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045614NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045632NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045647NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045654NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR066160NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR45580NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR45583NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR45614NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR45632NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR45647NIAMS NIH HHS U01AR45654NIA NIH HHS U01 AG018197NIA NIH HHS U01 AG027810NIA NIH HHS U01-AG027810NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042140NIA NIH HHS U01 AG18197
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Low bone mineral density (BMD) increases fracture risk; how changes in BMD influence fracture risk in older men is uncertain. BMD was assessed at two to three time points over 4.6 years using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) for 4470 men aged ≥65 years in the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) Study. Change in femoral neck BMD was estimated using mixed effects linear regression models. BMD change was categorized as "accelerated" (≤-0.034 g/cm(2) ), "expected" (between 0 and -0.034 g/cm(2) ), or "maintained" (≥0 g/cm(2) ). Fractures were adjudicated by central medical record review. Multivariate proportional hazards models estimated the risk of hip, nonspine/nonhip, and nonspine fracture over 4.5 years after the final BMD measure, during which time 371 (8.3%) men experienced at least one nonspine fracture, including 78 (1.7%) hip fractures. Men with accelerated femoral neck BMD loss had an increased risk of nonspine (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.0; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4-2.8); nonspine/nonhip (HR = 1.6; 95% CI 1.1-2.3); and hip fracture (HR = 6.3; 95% CI 2.7-14.8) compared with men who maintained BMD over time. No difference in risk was seen for men with expected loss. Adjustment for the initial BMD measure did not alter the results. Adjustment for the final BMD measure attenuated the change in BMD-nonspine fracture and the change in BMD-nonspine/nonhip relationships such that they were no longer significant, whereas the change in the BMD-hip fracture relationship was attenuated (HR = 2.6; 95% CI 1.1-6.4). Total hip BMD change produced similar results. Accelerated decrease in BMD is a strong, independent risk factor for hip and other nonspine fractures in men.

Indexed as

Disease SusceptibilityAgedBone DensityConfidence IntervalsFemur NeckHipHip FracturesHumansMaleSpinal FracturesUnited States

Identifiers

PMID22648990
PMCPMC3447117

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.