Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22577197›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2012

Outcomes of elective induction of labour compared with expectant management: population based study.

Sarah J Stock, Evelyn Ferguson, Andrew Duffy, Ian Ford, James Chalmers, Jane E Norman

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 79 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
79citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

79 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  5. Effects of induction of labor prior to post-term in low-risk pregnancies: a systematic review.JBI database of systematic reviews and implementation reports · 2019
    Pooled it
  6. Use of labour induction and risk of cesarean delivery: a systematic review and meta-analysis.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2014
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  15. Optimal timing for induction of labor in normotensive women: A retrospective cohort study.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2025
    Article
  16. The rising tide: Trends in induction of labor at term over a 5-year period at a single centre.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2025
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19 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Sarah J StockTommy's Centre for Maternal and Fetal Health, MRC Centre for Reproductive Health, University of Edinburgh, Queen's Medical Research Institute, UK. sarah.stock@ed.ac.uk
Evelyn Ferguson
Andrew Duffy
Ian Ford
James Chalmers
Jane E Norman

Funding

Medical Research Council G1002033
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo determine neonatal outcomes (perinatal mortality and special care unit admission) and maternal outcomes (mode of delivery, delivery complications) of elective induction of labour compared with expectant management.

designRetrospective cohort study using an unselected population database.

settingConsultant and midwife led obstetric units in Scotland 1981-2007.

participants1,271,549 women with singleton pregnancies of 37 weeks or more gestation.

interventionsOutcomes of elective induction of labour (induction of labour with no recognised medical indication) at 37, 38, 39, 40, and 41 weeks' gestation compared with those of expectant management (continuation of pregnancy to either spontaneous labour, induction of labour or caesarean section at a later gestation).

main outcome measuresExtended perinatal mortality, mode of delivery, postpartum haemorrhage, obstetric anal sphincter injury, and admission to a neonatal or special care baby unit. Outcomes were adjusted for age at delivery, parity, year of birth, birth weight, deprivation category, and, where appropriate, mode of delivery.

resultsAt each gestation between 37 and 41 completed weeks, elective induction of labour was associated with a decreased odds of perinatal mortality compared with expectant management (at 40 weeks' gestation 0.08% (37/44,764) in the induction of labour group versus 0.18% (627/350,643) in the expectant management group; adjusted odds ratio 0.39, 99% confidence interval 0.24 to 0.63), without a reduction in the odds of spontaneous vertex delivery (at 40 weeks' gestation 79.9% (35,775/44,778) in the induction of labour group versus 73.7% (258,665/350,791) in the expectant management group; adjusted odds ratio 1.26, 1.22 to 1.31). Admission to a neonatal unit was, however, increased in association with elective induction of labour at all gestations before 41 weeks (at 40 weeks' gestation 8.0% (3605/44,778) in the induction of labour group compared with 7.3% (25,572/350,791) in the expectant management group; adjusted odds ratio 1.14, 1.09 to 1.20).

conclusionAlthough residual confounding may remain, our findings indicate that elective induction of labour at term gestation can reduce perinatal mortality in developed countries without increasing the risk of operative delivery.

Indexed as

Labor, ObstetricPerinatal MortalityTerm BirthAdultCesarean SectionCohort StudiesConfounding Factors, EpidemiologicElective Surgical ProceduresFemaleGestational AgeHospitalizationHumansIntensive Care Units, NeonatalLabor, InducedLogistic ModelsNumbers Needed To Treat

Identifiers

PMID22577197
PMCPMC3349781

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.