Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22576809›Full record

ArticleArthritis and rheumatism2012

Development and validation of a risk score for serious infection in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

Cynthia S Crowson, Deana D Hoganson, Patrick D Fitz-Gibbon, Eric L Matteson

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis and rheumatism, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Cynthia S CrowsonMayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota 55905, USA. crowson@mayo.edu
Deana D Hoganson
Patrick D Fitz-Gibbon
Eric L Matteson

Funding

HEART DISEASE IN RHEUMATOID ARTHRITISR01AR046849 · NIAMS · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI CROWSON, CYNTHIA S · 2000 to 2022
$11.3M
Rochester Epidemiology ProjectR01AG034676 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI ROCCA, WALTER A, ST SAUVER, JENNIFER LYNN · 2010 to 2019
$9.5M
NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR046849NIAMS NIH HHS R01-AR-46849NIA NIH HHS R01 AG034676NIA NIH HHS R01-AG-034676
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveInfection risk is increased in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and accurate assessment of the risk of infection could inform clinical decision-making. This study was undertaken to develop and validate a score to predict the 1-year risk of serious infection in patients with RA.

methodsWe studied a population-based cohort of Olmsted County, Minnesota residents with incident RA ascertained in 1955-1994 whose members were followed up longitudinally, via complete medical records, until January 2000. The validation cohort included residents with incident RA ascertained in 1995-2007. The outcome measure included all serious infections (requiring hospitalization or intravenous antibiotics). Potential predictors were examined using multivariable Cox models. The risk score was estimated directly from the multivariable model, and performance was assessed in the validation cohort using Harrell's C statistic.

resultsAmong the 584 RA patients in the original cohort (72% female; mean age 57.5 years), who were followed up for a median of 9.9 years, 252 had ≥ 1 serious infection (646 total infections). Components of the risk score included age, previous serious infection, corticosteroid use, elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate, extraarticular manifestations of RA, and comorbidities (coronary heart disease, heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, chronic lung disease, diabetes mellitus, alcoholism). Validation analysis revealed good discrimination (C statistic 0.80).

conclusionRA disease characteristics and comorbidities can be used to accurately assess the risk of serious infection in patients with RA. Knowledge of risk of serious infection in RA patients can influence clinical decision making and inform strategies to reduce and prevent the occurrence of these infections.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAntirheumatic AgentsArthritis, RheumatoidBlood SedimentationCardiovascular DiseasesComorbidityFemaleHumansInfectionsMaleMiddle AgedRiskAntirheumatic Agents

Identifiers

PMID22576809
PMCPMC3424339

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.