Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22563092›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2012

Long term outcomes in men screened for abdominal aortic aneurysm: prospective cohort study.

John L Duncan, Kirsten A Harrild, Lisa Iversen, Amanda J Lee, David J Godden

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
7.1field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 64 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Associations between Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm with Cardiovascular Disease and All Cause Death in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.European journal of vascular and endovascular surgery : the official journal of the European Society for Vascular Surgery · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

John L DuncanDepartment of Surgery, Raigmore Hospital, Inverness IV2 3UJ, UK. john.duncan3@nhs.net
Kirsten A Harrild
Lisa Iversen
Amanda J Lee
David J Godden
University of Aberdeen · GBRaigmore Hospital · GB

Funding

Chief Scientist Office CZG/2/485
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo determine whether there is a relation between aortic diameter and morbidity and mortality in men screened for abdominal aortic aneurysm.

designProspective cohort study.

settingHighland and Western Isles (a large, sparsely populated area of Scotland).

participants8146 men aged 65-74.

main outcome measuresMorbidity and mortality in relation to presence of abdominal aortic aneurysm and three categories of aortic diameter (≤ 24 mm, 25-29 mm, and ≥ 30 mm).

resultsWhen screened, 414 men (5.1%) had an aneurysm (diameter ≥ 30 mm), 669 (8.2%) an aortic diameter of 25-29 mm, and 7063 (86.7%) an aortic diameter of ≤ 24 mm. The cohort was followed up for a median of 7.4 (interquartile range 6.9-8.2) years. Mortality was significantly associated with aortic diameter: 512 (7.2%) men in the ≤ 24 mm group died compared with 69 (10.3%) in the 25-29 mm group and 73 (17.6%) in the ≥ 30 mm group. The mortality risk in men with an aneurysm or with an aorta measuring 25-29 mm was significantly higher than in men with an aorta of ≤ 24 mm. The increased mortality risk in the 25-29 mm group was reduced when taking confounders such as smoking and known heart disease into account. After adjustment, compared with men with an aortic diameter of ≤ 24 mm, the risk of hospital admission for cardiovascular disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was significantly higher in men with aneurysm and those with aortas measuring 25-29 mm. Men with an aneurysm also had an increased risk of hospital admission for cerebrovascular disease, atherosclerosis, peripheral arterial disease, and respiratory disease. In men with aortas measuring 25-29 mm, the risk of hospital admission with abdominal aortic aneurysm was significantly higher than in men with an aorta of ≤ 24 mm (adjusted hazard ratio 6.7, 99% confidence interval 3.4 to 13.2) and this increased risk became apparent two years after screening.

conclusionsMen with abdominal aortic aneurysm and those with aortic diameters measuring 25-29 mm have an increased risk of mortality and subsequent hospital admissions compared with men with an aorta diameter of ≤ 24 mm. Consideration should be given to control of risk factors and to rescreening men with aortas measuring 25-29 mm at index scanning.

Indexed as

AgedAorta, AbdominalAortic Aneurysm, AbdominalHumansMaleMass ScreeningMorbidityProspective StudiesRisk FactorsRural HealthScotland

Identifiers

PMID22563092
PMCPMC3344734
OpenAlexW2115820169

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.