ArticleInternational journal of biometeorology2013
A numerical model of birch pollen emission and dispersion in the atmosphere. Model evaluation and sensitivity analysis.
Article in International journal of biometeorology, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed.
- European pollen reanalysis, 1980-2022, for alder, birch, and olive.Scientific data · 2024Article
- The 2024 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: unprecedented warming demands unprecedented action.The Lancet. Public health · 2024Review
- Modeling past and future spatiotemporal distributions of airborne allergenic pollen across the contiguous United States.Frontiers in allergy · 2022Article
- The influence of source maps on SILAM performance in modeling ragweed pollen concentrations in the area of a major European source.International journal of biometeorology · 2021Article
- Extension of WRF-Chem for birch pollen modelling-a case study for Poland.International journal of biometeorology · 2021Article
- A demonstration project of Global Alliance against Chronic Respiratory Diseases: Prediction of interactions between air pollution and allergen exposure-the Mobile Airways Sentinel NetworK-Impact of air POLLution on Asthma and Rhinitis approach.Chinese medical journal · 2020Review
- Do atmospheric events explain the arrival of an invasive ladybird (Harmonia axyridis) in the UK?PloS one · 2020Article
- Development of a semi-mechanistic allergenic pollen emission model.The Science of the total environment · 2019Article
- Defining Pollen Seasons: Background and Recommendations.Current allergy and asthma reports · 2018Review
- Aerobiology in the International Journal of Biometeorology, 1957-2017.International journal of biometeorology · 2017Article
- USA National Phenology Network's volunteer-contributed observations yield predictive models of phenological transitions.PloS one · 2017Article
- Article
- Pollen information consumption as an indicator of pollen allergy burden.Wiener klinische Wochenschrift · 2016Article
- Predicting Onset and Duration of Airborne Allergenic Pollen Season in the United States.Atmospheric environment (Oxford, England : 1994) · 2015Article
- Development of personal pollen information-the next generation of pollen information and a step forward for hay fever sufferers.International journal of biometeorology · 2014Article
- Climate change effect on Betula (birch) and Quercus (oak) pollen seasons in the United States.International journal of biometeorology · 2014Article
- A numerical model of birch pollen emission and dispersion in the atmosphere. Description of the emission module.International journal of biometeorology · 2013Article
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14 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
An evaluation of performance of the System for Integrated modeLling of Atmospheric coMposition (SILAM) in application to birch pollen dispersion is presented. The system is described in a companion paper whereas the current study evaluates the model sensitivity to details of the pollen emission module parameterisation and to the meteorological input data. The most important parameters are highlighted. The reference year considered for the analysis is 2006. It is shown that the model is capable of predicting about two-thirds of allergenic alerts, with the odds ratio exceeding 12 for the best setup. Several other statistics corroborate with these estimations. Low-pollen concentration days are also predicted correctly in more than two-thirds of cases. The model experiences certain difficulties only with intermediate pollen concentrations. It is demonstrated that the most important input parameter is the near-surface temperature, the bias of which can easily jeopardise the results. The model sensitivity to random fluctuations of temperature is much lower. Other parameters important at various stages of pollen development, release, and dispersion are precipitation and ambient humidity, as well as wind direction.
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