Trial reportJournal of general internal medicine2012
Mortality predictive indexes for the community-dwelling elderly US population.
Trial report in Journal of general internal medicine, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed.
- Profile and predictors of mortality among free-living elderly subjects: a community-based prospective cohort study from Kerala, India.BMJ public health · 2026Article
- Indicators of mortality risk in ageing horses.GeroScience · 2025Article
- Long-Term Survival Prediction Model for Elderly Community Members Using a Deep Learning Method.Geriatrics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Sex Differences in the Relation Between Subjective Memory Complaints, Impairments in Instrumental Activities of Daily Living, and Risk of Dementia.Journal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD · 2022Article
- Predicting death in home care users: derivation and validation of the Risk Evaluation for Support: Predictions for Elder-Life in the Community Tool (RESPECT).CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2021Article
- Predictive Indices for Functional Improvement and Deterioration, Institutionalization, and Death Among Elderly Medicare Beneficiaries.PM & R : the journal of injury, function, and rehabilitation · 2017Article
- Predicting 3-year mortality and admission to acute-care hospitals, skilled nursing facilities, and long-term care facilities in Medicare beneficiaries.Archives of gerontology and geriatrics · 2017Article
- The Association Between Activity Limitation Stages and Admission to Facilities Providing Long-term Care Among Older Medicare Beneficiaries.American journal of physical medicine & rehabilitation · 2017Article
- Activity Limitation Stages Are Associated With Risk of Hospitalization Among Medicare Beneficiaries.PM & R : the journal of injury, function, and rehabilitation · 2017Article
- Article
- Understanding non-performance reports for instrumental activity of daily living items in population analyses: a cross sectional study.BMC geriatrics · 2016Article
- [Geriatric assessment].Der Urologe. Ausg. A · 2015Article
- Disability Stage is an Independent Risk Factor for Mortality in Medicare Beneficiaries Aged 65 Years and Older.PM & R : the journal of injury, function, and rehabilitation · 2015Article
- Cognitive Impairment, Depression, and Cooccurrence of Both among the Elderly in Panama: Differential Associations with Multimorbidity and Functional Limitations.BioMed research international · 2015Article
- Activity Limitation Stages empirically derived for Activities of Daily Living (ADL) and Instrumental ADL in the U.S. Adult community-dwelling Medicare population.PM & R : the journal of injury, function, and rehabilitation · 2014Article
- First in line: prioritizing receipt of Social Security disability benefits based on likelihood of death during adjudication.Medical care · 2014Article
- Comparison of complex versus simple activity of daily living staging: validation of simple stages.Archives of physical medicine and rehabilitation · 2013Article
- Prognostic Indices for Advance Care Planning in Primary Care: A Scoping Review.Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine : JABFMArticle
- The 1994-1995 National Health Interview Survey on Disability (NHIS-D): A Bibliography of 20 Years of Research.Review of disability studiesArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundFew predictive indexes for long-term mortality have been developed for community-dwelling elderly populations. Parsimonious predictive indexes are important decision-making tools for clinicians, policy makers, and epidemiologists.
objectiveTo develop 1-, 5-, and 10-year mortality predictive indexes for nationally representative community-dwelling elderly people.
designCohort study.
settingThe Second Longitudinal Study of Aging (LSOA II).
participantsNationally representative civilian community-dwelling persons at least 70 years old. We randomly selected 60% of the sample for prediction development and used the remaining 40% for validation. MAIN MEASURES: Sociodemographics, impairments, and medical diagnoses were collected from the LSOA II baseline interviews. Instrumental activities of daily living (IADLs) stages were derived to measure functional status. All-cause mortality was obtained from the LSOA II Linked Mortality Public-use File.
resultsThe analyses included 7,373 sample persons with complete data, among which mortality rates were 3.7%, 23.3%, and 49.8% for 1, 5, and 10 years, respectively. Four, eight, and ten predictors were identified for 1-, 5-, and 10-year mortality, respectively, in multiple logistic regression models to create three predictive indexes. Age, sex, coronary artery disease, and IADL stages were the most essential predictors for all three indexes. C-statistics of the three indexes were 0.72, 0.74, and 0.75 in the development cohort and 0.72, 0.72, and 0.74 in the validation cohort for 1-, 5-, and 10-year mortality, respectively. Five risk groups were defined based on the scores.
conclusionsThe 1-, 5-, and 10-year mortality indexes include parsimonious predictor sets maximizing ease of mortality prediction in community settings. Thus, they may provide valuable information for prognosis of elderly patients and guide the comparison of alternative interventions. Including IADL stage as a predictor yields simplified mortality prediction when detailed disease information is not available.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.