Trial reportPloS one2012
Predictors of occurrence and severity of first time low back pain episodes: findings from a military inception cohort.
Trial report in PloS one, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
20 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 58 citations in OpenAlex.
- Is educational attainment associated with the onset and outcomes of low back pain? a systematic review and meta-analysis.PloS one · 2024Pooled it
- Risk factors for musculoskeletal injuries in the military: a qualitative systematic review of the literature from the past two decades and a new prioritizing injury model.Military Medical Research · 2021Pooled it
- Risk factors for musculoskeletal injuries in military personnel: a systematic review with meta-analysis.International archives of occupational and environmental health · 2021Pooled it
- The association between physical activity and low back pain: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.Scientific reports · 2019Pooled it
- [Chronic low back pain and psychological comorbidity : A review].Schmerz (Berlin, Germany) · 2017Pooled it
- The top-cited military relevant spine articles.Journal of orthopaedics · 2024Article
- Focus on the impact of social factors and lifestyle on the disease burden of low back pain: findings from the global burden of disease study 2019.BMC musculoskeletal disorders · 2023Article
- Prognosis of a new episode of low-back pain in a community inception cohort.European journal of pain (London, England) · 2023Article
- Predictive models for musculoskeletal injury risk: why statistical approach makes all the difference.BMJ open sport & exercise medicine · 2022Article
- International society of sports nutrition position stand: tactical athlete nutrition.Journal of the International Society of Sports Nutrition · 2022Article
- Models to predict injury, physical fitness failure and attrition in recruit training: a retrospective cohort study.Military Medical Research · 2020Article
- Predictors of pain in general ageing populations: results from a multi-country analysis based on ATHLOS harmonized database.The journal of headache and pain · 2020Article
- Comparing the Effects of Different Types of Aquatic Walking on Endurance and Electrical Activities of Spine Extensor Muscles in Men with Nonspecific Chronic Back Pain.International journal of preventive medicine · 2020Article
- Do prognostic variables predict a set of outcomes for patients with chronic low back pain: a long-term follow-up secondary analysis of a randomized control trial.The Journal of manual & manipulative therapy · 2019Article
- Development and validation of a new scale for prediction of low back pain occurrence among nurses.EXCLI journal · 2019Article
- Prevalence of Pain Diagnoses and Burden of Pain Among Active Duty Soldiers, FY2012.Military medicine · 2018Article
- Physical and Performance Characteristics Related to Unintentional Musculoskeletal Injury in Special Forces Operators: A Prospective Analysis.Journal of athletic training · 2017Article
- Article
- Associations between cigarette smoking and pain among veterans.Epidemiologic reviews · 2015Review
- Trunk muscles strength as a risk factor for nonspecific low back pain: a pilot study.Annals of rehabilitation medicine · 2014Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
Primary prevention studies suggest that additional research on identifying risk factors predictive of low back pain (LBP) is necessary before additional interventions can be developed. In the current study we assembled a large military cohort that was initially free of LBP and followed over 2 years. The purposes of this study were to identify baseline variables from demographic, socioeconomic, general health, and psychological domains that were predictive of a) occurrence; b) time; and c) severity for first episode of self-reported LBP. Baseline and outcome measures were collected via web-based surveillance system or phone to capture monthly information over 2 years. The assembled cohort consisted of 1230 Soldiers who provided self-report data with 518 (42.1%) reporting at least one episode of LBP over 2 years. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that gender, active duty status, mental and physical health scores were significant predictors of LBP. Cox regression revealed that the time to first episode of LBP was significantly shorter for Soldiers that were female, active duty, reported previous injury, and had increased BMI. Multivariate linear regression analysis investigated severity of the first episode by identifying baseline predictors of pain intensity, disability, and psychological distress. Education level and physical fitness were consistent predictors of pain intensity, while gender, smoking status, and previous injury status were predictors of disability. Gender, smoking status, physical health scores, and beliefs of back pain were consistent predictors of psychological distress. These results provide additional data to confirm the multi-factorial nature of LBP and suggest future preventative interventions focus on multi-modal approaches that target modifiable risk factors specific to the population of interest.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.