Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22291576›Full record

ArticlePLoS medicine2012

Adult mortality attributable to preventable risk factors for non-communicable diseases and injuries in Japan: a comparative risk assessment.

Nayu Ikeda, Manami Inoue, Hiroyasu Iso, Shunya Ikeda, Toshihiko Satoh, Mitsuhiko Noda, Tetsuya Mizoue, Hironori Imano, Eiko Saito, Kota Katanoda and 5 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS medicine, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 123 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
123citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
12.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

123 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 243 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The Japanese Society of Hypertension Guidelines for the management of elevated blood pressure and hypertension 2025 (JSH2025).Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2026
    Guideline
  2. The Japanese Society of Hypertension Guidelines for the Management of Hypertension (JSH 2019).Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2019
    Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Self-management of salt intake: clinical significance of urinary salt excretion estimated using a self-monitoring device.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2016
    Trial
  6. Blood pressure status, JSH 2019-based control rate, and associated factors among community-dwelling adults: The NOSE study.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
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  15. Review
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  17. Article
  18. A novel mechanism by which excessive fructose intake leads to hypertension.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2025
    Article
  19. Evidence for exercise therapies including isometric handgrip training for hypertensive patients.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2025
    Article
  20. Article

63 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

Nayu IkedaDepartment of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan. ikedan@m.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Manami Inoue
Hiroyasu Iso
Shunya Ikeda
Toshihiko Satoh
Mitsuhiko Noda
Tetsuya Mizoue
Hironori Imano
Eiko Saito
Kota Katanoda
Tomotaka Sobue
Shoichiro Tsugane
Mohsen Naghavi
Majid Ezzati
Kenji Shibuya
The University of Tokyo · JPNational Center for Global Health and Medicine · JPOsaka University · JPImperial College London · GBInternational University of Health and Welfare · JPKitasato University · JPUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe population of Japan has achieved the longest life expectancy in the world. To further improve population health, consistent and comparative evidence on mortality attributable to preventable risk factors is necessary for setting priorities for health policies and programs. Although several past studies have quantified the impact of individual risk factors in Japan, to our knowledge no study has assessed and compared the effects of multiple modifiable risk factors for non-communicable diseases and injuries using a standard framework. We estimated the effects of 16 risk factors on cause-specific deaths and life expectancy in Japan. METHODS AND

findingsWe obtained data on risk factor exposures from the National Health and Nutrition Survey and epidemiological studies, data on the number of cause-specific deaths from vital records adjusted for ill-defined codes, and data on relative risks from epidemiological studies and meta-analyses. We applied a comparative risk assessment framework to estimate effects of excess risks on deaths and life expectancy at age 40 y. In 2007, tobacco smoking and high blood pressure accounted for 129,000 deaths (95% CI: 115,000-154,000) and 104,000 deaths (95% CI: 86,000-119,000), respectively, followed by physical inactivity (52,000 deaths, 95% CI: 47,000-58,000), high blood glucose (34,000 deaths, 95% CI: 26,000-43,000), high dietary salt intake (34,000 deaths, 95% CI: 27,000-39,000), and alcohol use (31,000 deaths, 95% CI: 28,000-35,000). In recent decades, cancer mortality attributable to tobacco smoking has increased in the elderly, while stroke mortality attributable to high blood pressure has declined. Life expectancy at age 40 y in 2007 would have been extended by 1.4 y for both sexes (men, 95% CI: 1.3-1.6; women, 95% CI: 1.2-1.7) if exposures to multiple cardiovascular risk factors had been reduced to their optimal levels as determined by a theoretical-minimum-risk exposure distribution.

conclusionsTobacco smoking and high blood pressure are the two major risk factors for adult mortality from non-communicable diseases and injuries in Japan. There is a large potential population health gain if multiple risk factors are jointly controlled.

Indexed as

Life ExpectancyAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHealth SurveysHumansHypertensionJapanMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSmoking

Identifiers

PMID22291576
PMCPMC3265534
OpenAlexW1973443484

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.