ReviewAmbio2012
Arctic climate tipping points.
Review in Ambio, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed.
- Permafrost tipping point triggered by warming-driven loss of old carbon.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Robust increase in observed heat storage by the global subsurface.Science advances · 2025Article
- Quantifying local stability and noise levels from time series in the US Western Interconnection blackout on 10th August 1996.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Microbial profiling of the East Siberian Sea sediments using 16S rRNA gene and metagenome sequencing.Scientific data · 2024Article
- Carbon Fate, Iron Dissolution, and Molecular Characterization of Dissolved Organic Matter in Thawed Yedoma Permafrost under Varying Redox Conditions.Environmental science & technology · 2024Article
- Simulating long-term wildfire impacts on boreal forest structure in Central Yakutia, Siberia, since the Last Glacial Maximum.Fire ecology · 2024Article
- Quantifying resilience and the risk of regime shifts under strong correlated noise.PNAS nexus · 2023Article
- Article
- The quiet crossing of ocean tipping points.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
- Statistical physics approaches to the complex Earth system.Physics reports · 2021Review
- Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate.Royal Society open science · 2020Article
- Fast response of cold ice-rich permafrost in northeast Siberia to a warming climate.Nature communications · 2020Article
- Climate policy implications of nonlinear decline of Arctic land permafrost and other cryosphere elements.Nature communications · 2019Article
- Remote sensing quantifies widespread abundance of permafrost region disturbances across the Arctic and Subarctic.Nature communications · 2018Article
- Global and Arctic climate sensitivity enhanced by changes in North Pacific heat flux.Nature communications · 2018Article
- Global assessment of early warning signs that temperature could undergo regime shifts.Scientific reports · 2018Article
- Towards the incorporation of tipping elements in global climate risk management: probability and potential impacts of passing a threshold.Sustainability science · 2018Article
- Climate change and eHealth: a promising strategy for health sector mitigation and adaptation.Global health action · 2012Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
There is widespread concern that anthropogenic global warming will trigger Arctic climate tipping points. The Arctic has a long history of natural, abrupt climate changes, which together with current observations and model projections, can help us to identify which parts of the Arctic climate system might pass future tipping points. Here the climate tipping points are defined, noting that not all of them involve bifurcations leading to irreversible change. Past abrupt climate changes in the Arctic are briefly reviewed. Then, the current behaviour of a range of Arctic systems is summarised. Looking ahead, a range of potential tipping phenomena are described. This leads to a revised and expanded list of potential Arctic climate tipping elements, whose likelihood is assessed, in terms of how much warming will be required to tip them. Finally, the available responses are considered, especially the prospects for avoiding Arctic climate tipping points.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.