Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22246797›Full record

ArticleDemography2012

Educational attainment and adult mortality in the United States: a systematic analysis of functional form.

Jennifer Karas Montez, Robert A Hummer, Mark D Hayward

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Demography, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 113 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
113citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

113 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Diminishing Returns Among Black Patients With Cancer: The Intersection of Race and Neighborhood Socioeconomic Status.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2026
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  9. Observational
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  18. Observational
  19. Self-Rated Health and Mortality: Moderation by Purpose in Life.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Article
  20. Article

53 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Jennifer Karas MontezHarvard Center for Population & Development Studies, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA. jkmontez@hsph.harvard.edu
Robert A Hummer
Mark D Hayward

Funding

Population Research CenterR24HD042849 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AUSTIN · PI UMBERSON, DEBRA J. · 2002 to 2016
$8.4M
Training Program in Population StudiesT32HD007081 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AUSTIN · PI Aprile Dawn Benner, Christy L. Erving · 1985 to 2026
$6.8M
Educational Differences in U.S. Adult MortalityR01HD053696 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN · PI HUMMER, ROBERT A · 2006 to 2008
$809k
NICHD NIH HHS 1 R01-HD053696NICHD NIH HHS 5 R24 HD042849NICHD NIH HHS 5 T32 HD007081NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD053696NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD042849NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007081
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A vast literature has documented the inverse association between educational attainment and U.S. adult mortality risk but given little attention to identifying the optimal functional form of the association. A theoretical explanation of the association hinges on our ability to describe it empirically. Using the 1979-1998 National Longitudinal Mortality Study for non-Hispanic white and black adults aged 25-100 years during the mortality follow-up period (N = 1,008,215), we evaluated 13 functional forms across race-gender-age subgroups to determine which form(s) best captured the association. Results revealed that the preferred functional form includes a linear decline in mortality risk from 0 to 11 years of education, followed by a step-change reduction in mortality risk upon attainment of a high school diploma, at which point mortality risk resumes a linear decline but with a steeper slope than that prior to a high school diploma. The findings provide important clues for theoretical development of explanatory mechanisms: an explanation for the selected functional form may require integrating a credentialist perspective to explain the step-change reduction in mortality risk upon attainment of a high school diploma, with a human capital perspective to explain the linear declines before and after a high school diploma.

Indexed as

Educational StatusMortalityAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBlack or African AmericanBlack PeopleDemographyDisability EvaluationFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID22246797
PMCPMC3290920

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.