Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22220868›Full record

ArticleEvolution; international journal of organic evolution2012

Human actuarial aging increases faster when background death rates are lower: a consequence of differential heterogeneity?

Kristen Hawkes, Ken R Smith, James K Blevins

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Evolution; international journal of organic evolution, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

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  15. Early origins of longevity: prenatal exposures to food shortage among early Utah pioneers.Journal of developmental origins of health and disease · 2013
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Kristen HawkesDepartment of Anthropology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA. hawkes@anthro.utah.edu
Ken R Smith
James K Blevins

Funding

The Utah Study of Fertility, Longevity and AgingR01AG022095 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI SMITH, KEN R · 2003 to 2015
$9.4M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG022095NIA NIH HHS R01AG022095
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Many analyses of human populations have found that age-specific mortality rates increase faster across most of adulthood when overall mortality levels decline. This contradicts the relationship often expected from Williams' classic hypothesis about the effects of natural selection on the evolution of senescence. More likely, much of the within-species difference in actuarial aging is not due to variation in senescence, but to the strength of filters on the heterogeneity of frailty in older survivors. A challenge to this differential frailty hypothesis was recently posed by an analysis of life tables from historical European populations and traditional societies that reported variation in actuarial aging consistent with Williams' hypothesis after all. To investigate the challenge, we reconsidered those cases and aging measures. Here we show that the discrepancy depends on Ricklefs' aging rate measure, ω, which decreases as mortality levels drop because it is an index of mortality level itself, not the rate of increase in mortality with age. We also show unappreciated correspondence among the parameters of Gompertz-Makeham and Weibull survival models. Finally, we compare the relationships among mortality parameters of the traditional societies and the historical series, providing further suggestive evidence that differential heterogeneity has strong effects on actuarial aging.

Indexed as

Actuarial AnalysisAgingMortalityAdultAgedAged, 80 and overDemographyFemaleHumansMaleMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID22220868
PMCPMC4010320

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.