Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22215001›Full record

ArticleAlcohol and alcoholism (Oxford, Oxfordshire)

Patterns of alcohol use in early adolescence predict problem use at age 16.

Jon Heron, John Macleod, Marcus R Munafò, Roberto Melotti, Glyn Lewis, Kate Tilling, Matthew Hickman

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alcohol and alcoholism (Oxford, Oxfordshire). The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.5field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 65 citations in OpenAlex.

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  3. Drinking to Cope: a Latent Class Analysis of Coping Motives for Alcohol Use in a Large Cohort of Adolescents.Prevention science : the official journal of the Society for Prevention Research · 2016
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jon HeronSchool of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Canynge Hall, 39 Whatley Road, Bristol BS8 2PS, UK. jon.heron@bristol.ac.uk
John Macleod
Marcus R Munafò
Roberto Melotti
Glyn Lewis
Kate Tilling
Matthew Hickman
University of Bristol · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council 74882Medical Research Council G0800612Medical Research Council G0802736Medical Research Council G1000726Medical Research Council G9815508Wellcome Trust 076467Wellcome Trust 086684Wellcome Trust 092731
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsTeenagers in the UK report some of the highest rates of alcohol use in Europe. We identify patterns of alcohol use in early adolescence and relate these to hazardous and harmful alcohol use at age 16.

methodsIn a UK birth cohort, we analysed repeated measures of alcohol use from age 13 to 15 in a sample of 7100 adolescents. Data on drinking frequency and typical consumption when drinking were modelled separately using a pair of latent class models. Classes of alcohol-use behaviour were contrasted across a range of risk factors and then to hazardous and harmful alcohol use as assessed using the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test scale at age 16.

resultsHeterogeneity in drinking frequency and consumption could each be captured with three classes corresponding to low, medium and high levels. In total, 14.2% were classified as high-frequency and 8.9% as high consumption alcohol users. Socio-demographic factors, maternal substance use and the young persons' use of tobacco and cannabis were associated with class membership. At age 16, 29% were drinking hazardously and a further 5.6% were assessed as harmful drinkers. Young people in the high drinking frequency or consumption class had a 9-fold increased risk of reporting harmful drinking at age 16.

conclusionsBy the age of 16, a substantial proportion of teenagers in this sample were drinking at levels that could be considered hazardous or harmful for an adult. Patterns of alcohol exposure in early adolescence were strongly associated with later alcohol use. Altering drinking patterns in middle adolescence has the potential to reduce harmful use in later adolescence.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAdolescentAdolescent BehaviorAge FactorsAlcohol DrinkingAlcohol-Related DisordersCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleRisk FactorsSex FactorsUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID22215001
PMCPMC3284685
OpenAlexW2009241808

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.