Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22152056›Full record

ArticleBMC ecology2011

Ecological niche modelling of the Bacillus anthracis A1.a sub-lineage in Kazakhstan.

Jocelyn Mullins, Larissa Lukhnova, Alim Aikimbayev, Yerlan Pazilov, Matthew Van Ert, Jason K Blackburn

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC ecology, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 50 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Ecological Niche Model ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Frontiers in microbiology · 2021
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Predicting the Geographic Distribution of theThe American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2020
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. ModelingInternational journal of environmental research and public health · 2019
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Modeling the Ecological Niche ofThe American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2017
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Jocelyn MullinsDepartment of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville, USA.
Larissa Lukhnova
Alim Aikimbayev
Yerlan Pazilov
Matthew Van Ert
Jason K Blackburn
University of Florida · USKazakh Research Institute of Plant Protection and Quarantine · KZMinistry of Health of the Republic of Kazakhstan · KZ

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBacillus anthracis, the causative agent of anthrax, is a globally distributed zoonotic pathogen that continues to be a veterinary and human health problem in Central Asia. We used a database of anthrax outbreak locations in Kazakhstan and a subset of genotyped isolates to model the geographic distribution and ecological associations of B. anthracis in Kazakhstan. The aims of the study were to test the influence of soil variables on a previous ecological niche based prediction of B. anthracis in Kazakhstan and to determine if a single sub-lineage of B. anthracis occupies a unique ecological niche.

resultsThe addition of soil variables to the previously developed ecological niche model did not appreciably alter the limits of the predicted geographic or ecological distribution of B. anthracis in Kazakhstan. The A1.a experiment predicted the sub-lineage to be present over a larger geographic area than did the outbreak based experiment containing multiple lineages. Within the geographic area predicted to be suitable for B. anthracis by all ten best subset models, the A1.a sub-lineage was associated with a wider range of ecological tolerances than the outbreak-soil experiment. Analysis of rule types showed that logit rules predominate in the outbreak-soil experiment and range rules in the A1.a sub-lineage experiment. Random sub-setting of locality points suggests that models of B. anthracis distribution may be sensitive to sample size.

conclusionsOur analysis supports careful consideration of the taxonomic resolution of data used to create ecological niche models. Further investigations into the environmental affinities of individual lineages and sub-lineages of B. anthracis will be useful in understanding the ecology of the disease at large and small scales. With model based predictions serving as approximations of disease risk, these efforts will improve the efficacy of public health interventions for anthrax prevention and control.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalAnthraxBacillus anthracisGenetic VariationGeographyHumansKazakhstanSoil Microbiology

Identifiers

PMID22152056
PMCPMC3260114
OpenAlexW2088011763

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.