ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2012
Making predictive ecology more relevant to policy makers and practitioners.
Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Pooled it
- Article
- Dispersal in heterogeneous environments drives population dynamics and control of tsetse flies.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2021Article
- FishMORPH - An agent-based model to predict salmonid growth and distribution responses under natural and low flows.Scientific reports · 2016Article
- Article
- A resource-based modelling framework to assess habitat suitability for steppe birds in semiarid Mediterranean agricultural systems.PloS one · 2014Article
- Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions.Ecology letters · 2013Article
- Integrating evolution into ecological modelling: accommodating phenotypic changes in agent based models.PloS one · 2013Article
- Predictive ecology: systems approaches.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2012Article
- Modelling the effects of sanitary policies on European vulture conservation.Scientific reports · 2012Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
One of the aims of ecology is to aid policy makers and practitioners through the development of testable predictions of relevance to society. Here, we argue that this capacity can be improved in three ways. Firstly, by thinking more clearly about the priority issues using a range of methods including horizon scanning, identifying policy gaps, identifying priority questions and using evidence-based conservation to identify knowledge gaps. Secondly, by linking ecological models with models of other systems, such as economic and social models. Thirdly, by considering alternative approaches to generate and model data that use, for example, discrete or categorical states to model ecological systems. We particularly highlight that models are essential for making predictions. However, a key to the limitation in their use is the degree to which ecologists are able to communicate results to policy makers in a clear, useful and timely fashion.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.