Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22085761›Full record

ArticleMathematical biosciences2012

Reproduction numbers for epidemic models with households and other social structures. I. Definition and calculation of R0.

Lorenzo Pellis, Frank Ball, Pieter Trapman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Mathematical biosciences, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2020
    Pooled it
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  13. Household bubbles and COVID-19 transmission: insights from percolation theory.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021
    Article
  14. Using a household-structured branching process to analyse contact tracing in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Lorenzo PellisMRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, United Kingdom. l.pellis05@imperial.ac.uk
Frank Ball
Pieter Trapman

Funding

Medical Research Council G0800596
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The basic reproduction number R(0) is one of the most important quantities in epidemiology. However, for epidemic models with explicit social structure involving small mixing units such as households, its definition is not straightforward and a wealth of other threshold parameters has appeared in the literature. In this paper, we use branching processes to define R(0), we apply this definition to models with households or other more complex social structures and we provide methods for calculating it.

Indexed as

Basic Reproduction NumberFamily CharacteristicsModels, BiologicalCommunicable DiseasesHumansStochastic Processes

Identifiers

PMID22085761
PMCPMC3693038

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.