SynthesisRespiratory research2011
Multidimensional prognostic indices for use in COPD patient care. A systematic review.
Synthesis in Respiratory research, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
36 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Prognostic models for outcome prediction in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: systematic review and critical appraisal.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2019Pooled it
- Prognostic variables and scores identifying the end of life in COPD: a systematic review.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2017Pooled it
- Development and validation a nomogram to predict long-term mortality risks of PRISm and mild-to-moderate COPD based on NHANES 2007-2012.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- The Cross-Sectional Area of Erector Spinae Muscles Obtained from Chest CT Is an Independent Predictor of Death in COPD.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2025Article
- A scoping review on pair housing dairy calves: health and performance outcomes and tactics to reduce cross-sucking behavior.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2025Review
- The PROgnostic ModEl for chronic lung disease (PRO-MEL): development and temporal validation.BMC pulmonary medicine · 2024Article
- Development and validation of a nomogram model for mortality prediction in stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients: A prospective observational study in the RealDTC cohort.Journal of global health · 2024Observational
- The Role of the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale (CIRS) in Estimating the Impact of Comorbidities on Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Outcomes: A Pilot Study of the MACH (Multidimensional Approach for COPD and High Complexity) Study.Journal of personalized medicine · 2023Article
- Development and validation of a prediction index for recent mortality in advanced COPD patients.NPJ primary care respiratory medicine · 2022Article
- The development of a novel Wellness Assessment Instrument and its use in the assessment of wellness status in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.Perspectives in public health · 2022Article
- Frailty degree and illness trajectories in older people towards the end-of-life: a prospective observational study.BMJ open · 2021Observational
- Measuring disease activity in COPD: is clinically important deterioration the answer?Respiratory research · 2020Review
- Primary care risk stratification in COPD using routinely collected data: a secondary data analysis.NPJ primary care respiratory medicine · 2019Article
- A clinical prediction model for hospitalized COPD exacerbations based on "treatable traits".International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2019Article
- Article
- COPD stands for complex obstructive pulmonary disease.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2018Review
- Differences in place of death between lung cancer and COPD patients: a 14-country study using death certificate data.NPJ primary care respiratory medicine · 2017Article
- Associations between chronic comorbidity and exacerbation risk in primary care patients with COPD.Respiratory research · 2017Article
- Determining prognosis in acute exacerbation of COPD.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2017Article
- Development of the ProPal-COPD tool to identify patients with COPD for proactive palliative care.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2017Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundA growing number of prognostic indices for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is developed for clinical use. Our aim is to identify, summarize and compare all published prognostic COPD indices, and to discuss their performance, usefulness and implementation in daily practice.
methodsWe performed a systematic literature search in both Pubmed and Embase up to September 2010. Selection criteria included primary publications of indices developed for stable COPD patients, that predict future outcome by a multidimensional scoring system, developed for and validated with COPD patients only. Two reviewers independently assessed the index quality using a structured screening form for systematically scoring prognostic studies.
resultsOf 7,028 articles screened, 13 studies comprising 15 indices were included. Only 1 index had been explored for its application in daily practice. We observed 21 different predictors and 7 prognostic outcomes, the latter reflecting mortality, hospitalization and exacerbation. Consistent strong predictors were FEV1 percentage predicted, age and dyspnoea. The quality of the studies underlying the indices varied between fairly poor and good. Statistical methods to assess the predictive abilities of the indices were heterogenic. They generally revealed moderate to good discrimination, when measured. LIMITATIONS: We focused on prognostic indices for stable disease only and, inevitably, quality judgment was prone to subjectivity.
conclusionsWe identified 15 prognostic COPD indices. Although the prognostic performance of some of the indices has been validated, they all lack sufficient evidence for implementation. Whether or not the use of prognostic indices improves COPD disease management or patients' health is currently unknown; impact studies are required to establish this.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.