Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22025600›Full record

ArticleCirculation2011

Performance of the traditional age, sex, and angina typicality-based approach for estimating pretest probability of angiographically significant coronary artery disease in patients undergoing coronary computed tomographic angiography: results from the multinational coronary CT angiography evaluation for clinical outcomes: an international multicenter registry (CONFIRM).

Victor Y Cheng, Daniel S Berman, Alan Rozanski, Allison M Dunning, Stephan Achenbach, Mouaz Al-Mallah, Matthew J Budoff, Filippo Cademartiri, Tracy Q Callister, Hyuk-Jae Chang and 14 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readEvaluation StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 115 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
115citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
16.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

115 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 307 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Update of the Brazilian Guideline on Nuclear Cardiology - 2020.Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2020
    Guideline
  2. Pooled it
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  8. Single-Molecule hsTnI and Short-Term Risk in Stable Patients With Chest Pain.Journal of the American College of Cardiology · 2019
    Trial
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  13. Article
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  15. Guideline for Chronic Coronary Syndrome - 2025.Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2025
    Article
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  20. Review

55 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Victor Y ChengHeart Institute and Department of Imaging, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA. victor.cheng@cshs.org
Daniel S Berman
Alan Rozanski
Allison M Dunning
Stephan Achenbach
Mouaz Al-Mallah
Matthew J Budoff
Filippo Cademartiri
Tracy Q Callister
Hyuk-Jae Chang
Kavitha Chinnaiyan
Benjamin J W Chow
Augustin Delago
Millie Gomez
Martin Hadamitzky
Jörg Hausleiter
Ronald P Karlsberg
Philipp Kaufmann
Fay Y Lin
Erica Maffei
Gilbert L Raff
Todd C Villines
Leslee J Shaw
James K Min
Mount Sinai Hospital · US

Funding

CT-Based Coronary Plaque Feature Detection for Predicting Myocardial IschemiaK23HL107458 · NHLBI · CEDARS-SINAI MEDICAL CENTER · PI CHENG, VICTOR · 2011 to 2011
$171k
NHLBI NIH HHS 1K23HL107458-01NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL107458
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGuidelines for the management of patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) rely on the age, sex, and angina typicality-based pretest probabilities of angiographically significant CAD derived from invasive coronary angiography (guideline probabilities). Reliability of guideline probabilities has not been investigated in patients referred to noninvasive CAD testing. METHODS AND

resultsWe identified 14048 consecutive patients with suspected CAD who underwent coronary computed tomographic angiography. Angina typicality was recorded with the use of accepted criteria. Pretest likelihoods of CAD with ≥ 50 diameter stenosis (CAD50) and ≥ 70 diameter stenosis (CAD70) were calculated from guideline probabilities. Computed tomographic angiography images were evaluated by ≥ 1 expert reader to determine the presence of CAD50 and CAD70. Typical angina was associated with the highest prevalence of CAD50 (40 in men, 19 in women) and CAD70 (27 men, 11 women) compared with other symptom categories (P<0.001 for all). Observed CAD50 and CAD70 prevalences were substantially lower than those predicted by guideline probabilities in the overall population (18 versus 51 for CAD50, 10 versus 42 for CAD70; P<0.001), driven by pronounced differences in patients with atypical angina (15 versus 47 for CAD50, 7 versus 37 for CAD70) and typical angina (29 versus 86 for CAD50, 19 versus 71 for CAD70). Marked overestimation of disease prevalence by guideline probabilities was found at all participating centers and across all sex and age subgroups.

conclusionIn this multinational study of patients referred for coronary computed tomographic angiography, determination of pretest likelihood of angiographically significant CAD by the invasive angiography-based guideline probabilities greatly overestimates the actual prevalence of disease.

Indexed as

International CooperationRegistriesAdultAgedAge FactorsAngina PectorisCoronary AngiographyCoronary Artery DiseaseFemaleGuidelines as TopicHumansMaleMiddle AgedMultidetector Computed TomographyPrevalenceProbability

Identifiers

PMID22025600
PMCPMC3240578
OpenAlexW2151390153

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.