Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21977296›Full record

ArticleHeart international2010

Framingham risk prediction equations for incidence of cardiovascular disease using detailed measures for smoking.

Haider Mannan, Chris Stevenson, Anna Peeters, Helen Walls, John McNeil

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart international, 2010. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Cardiovascular risk factors among industrial workers: a cross-sectional study from eastern Nepal.Journal of occupational medicine and toxicology (London, England) · 2016
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Effects of smoking on non-AIDS-related morbidity in HIV-infected patients.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2013
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Haider MannanDept. of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Victoria, Australia.
Chris Stevenson
Anna Peeters
Helen Walls
John McNeil

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Current prediction models for risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence incorporate smoking as a dichotomous yes/no measure. However, the risk of CVD associated with smoking also varies with the intensity and duration of smoking and there is a strong association between time since quitting and the risk of disease onset. This study aims to develop improved risk prediction equations for CVD incidence incorporating intensity and duration of smoking and time since quitting.The risk of developing a first CVD event was evaluated using a Cox's model for participants in the Framingham offspring cohort who attended the fourth examination (1988-92) between the ages of 30 and 74 years and were free of CVD (n=3751). The full models based on the smoking variables and other risk factors, and reduced models based on the smoking variables and non-laboratory risk factors demonstrated good discrimination, calibration and global fit. The incorporation of both time since quitting among past smokers and pack-years among current smokers resulted in better predictive performance as compared to a dichotomous current/non-smoker measure and a current/quitter/never smoker measure. Compared to never smokers, the risk of CVD incidence increased with pack-years. Risk among those quitting more than five years prior to the baseline exam and within five years prior to the baseline exam were similar and twice as high as that of never smokers. A CVD risk equation incorporating the effects of pack-years and time since quitting provides an improved tool to quantify risk and guide preventive care.

Indexed as

coronary heart diseasedetailed smoking measuresother risk factorspredictive equationreduced equation.

Identifiers

PMID21977296
PMCPMC3184690

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.