SynthesisInternational journal of biometeorology2012
Daily average temperature and mortality among the elderly: a meta-analysis and systematic review of epidemiological evidence.
Synthesis in International journal of biometeorology, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 91 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
91 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 220 citations in OpenAlex.
- Short-term effects of ambient temperature on non-external and cardiovascular mortality among older adults of metropolitan areas of Mexico.International journal of biometeorology · 2019Pooled it
- Heat Health Prevention Measures and Adaptation in Older Populations-A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Pooled it
- Assessing Heat-Related Mortality Risks among Rural Populations: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Epidemiological Evidence.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018Pooled it
- Regional Assessment of Temperature-Related Mortality in Finland.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018Pooled it
- Effects of Air Temperature on Climate-Sensitive Mortality and Morbidity Outcomes in the Elderly; a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Epidemiological Evidence.EBioMedicine · 2016Pooled it
- Non optimal temperatures and chronic cardiovascular diseases.Seminars in immunopathology · 2026Review
- Epidemiology, mechanisms and clinical implications of heat-related kidney disease.Nature reviews. Nephrology · 2026Review
- Multi-scalar risk drivers for a heat vulnerability assessment framework using machine learning algorithms.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Exploring age and gender sensitivity to high-temperature days: impacts on respiratory, cardiovascular, and all-cause mortality in summer in Flanders.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2026Article
- The mediating role of acute respiratory infections in temperature-mortality associations in the Czech Republic, 1982-2019.International journal of biometeorology · 2026Article
- Effects of temperature and humidity on hospitalizations for metabolic syndrome with cerebral infarction among older adults in Panzhihua: a distributed lag non-linear model analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Feeling the heat: associations among daily ambient temperatures, extreme heat days and risk mortality in Australian dogs from New South Wales (1997-2017).Australian veterinary journal · 2025Article
- Seasonal Average Temperature Differences and CVD Incidence: Results from the US-Based Nurses' Health Study, Nurses' Health Study II, and the Health Professional Follow-Up Study.Environmental health perspectives · 2025Article
- Canadian adolescents' perceptions of how climate change is impacting their mental health: A qualitative analysis of open-ended survey responses.PLOS mental health · 2025Article
- Challenges posed by climate hazards to cardiovascular health and cardiac intensive care: implications for mitigation and adaptation.European heart journal. Acute cardiovascular care · 2024Review
- Extreme Heat Events and Emergency Department Visits among Older Adults in California from 2012-2019.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2024Article
- Cardiovascular Imaging, Climate Change, and Environmental Sustainability.Radiology. Cardiothoracic imaging · 2024Review
- Climate change and healthy ageing: An assessment of the impact of climate hazards on older people.Journal of global health · 2024Review
- Cold waves and fine particulate matter in high-altitude Chinese cities: assessing their interactive impact on outpatient visits for respiratory disease.BMC public health · 2024Article
- "We Used to Have Four Seasons, but Now There Is Only One": Perceptions Concerning the Changing Climate and Environment in a Diverse Sample of Israeli Older Persons.Journal of applied gerontology : the official journal of the Southern Gerontological Society · 2024Article
31 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The impact of climate change on the health of vulnerable groups such as the elderly has been of increasing concern. However, to date there has been no meta-analysis of current literature relating to the effects of temperature fluctuations upon mortality amongst the elderly. We synthesised risk estimates of the overall impact of daily mean temperature on elderly mortality across different continents. A comprehensive literature search was conducted using MEDLINE and PubMed to identify papers published up to December 2010. Selection criteria including suitable temperature indicators, endpoints, study-designs and identification of threshold were used. A two-stage Bayesian hierarchical model was performed to summarise the percent increase in mortality with a 1°C temperature increase (or decrease) with 95% confidence intervals in hot (or cold) days, with lagged effects also measured. Fifteen studies met the eligibility criteria and almost 13 million elderly deaths were included in this meta-analysis. In total, there was a 2-5% increase for a 1°C increment during hot temperature intervals, and a 1-2 % increase in all-cause mortality for a 1°C decrease during cold temperature intervals. Lags of up to 9 days in exposure to cold temperature intervals were substantially associated with all-cause mortality, but no substantial lagged effects were observed for hot intervals. Thus, both hot and cold temperatures substantially increased mortality among the elderly, but the magnitude of heat-related effects seemed to be larger than that of cold effects within a global context.
Indexed as
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.