Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21975023›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2011

Early mortality and overall survival in oncology phase I trial participants: can we improve patient selection?

Nicole G Chau, Ana Florescu, Kelvin K Chan, Lisa Wang, Eric X Chen, Philippe Bedard, Amit M Oza, Lillian L Siu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 27% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

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  12. Cell-free Circulating Tumor DNA Variant Allele Frequency Associates with Survival in Metastatic Cancer.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Nicole G ChauDivision of Medical Oncology and Hematology, Princess Margaret Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Ana Florescu
Kelvin K Chan
Lisa Wang
Eric X Chen
Philippe Bedard
Amit M Oza
Lillian L Siu
University of Toronto · CAPrincess Margaret Cancer Centre · CAPrincess Margaret Hospital · NZ

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPatient selection for phase I trials (PIT) in oncology is challenging. A typical inclusion criterion for PIT is 'life expectancy > 3 months', however the 90 day mortality (90DM) and overall survival (OS) of patients with advanced solid malignancies are difficult to predict.

methodsWe analyzed 233 patients who were enrolled in PIT at Princess Margaret Hospital. We assessed the relationship between 17 clinical characteristics and 90DM using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to create a risk score (PMHI). We also applied the Royal Marsden Hospital risk score (RMI), which consists of 3 markers (albumin < 35g/L, > 2 metastatic sites, LDH > ULN).

resultsMedian age was 57 years (range 21-88). The 90DM rate was 14%; median OS was 320 days. Predictors of 90DM were albumin < 35g/L (OR = 8.2, p = 0.01), > 2 metastatic sites (OR = 2.6, p = 0.02), and ECOG > 0 (OR = 6.3, p = 0.001); all 3 factors constitute the PMHI. To predict 90DM, the PMHI performed better than the RMI (AUC = 0.78 vs 0.69). To predict OS, the RMI performed slightly better (RMI ≥ 2, HR = 2.2, p = 0.002 vs PMHI ≥ 2, HR = 1.6, p = 0.05).

conclusionsTo predict 90DM, the PMHI is helpful. To predict OS, risk models should include ECOG > 0, > 2 metastatic sites, and LDH > ULN. Prospective validation of the PMHI is warranted.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials, Phase I as TopicPatient SelectionAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasmsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSurvival AnalysisTreatment OutcomeYoung AdultBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID21975023
PMCPMC3199018
OpenAlexW2032559340

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.