Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21946386›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2011

On the pitfalls of adjusting for gestational age at birth.

Allen J Wilcox, Clarice R Weinberg, Olga Basso

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 179 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
179citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

179 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  19. Mycoestrogen Exposure during Pregnancy: Impact of theEnvironmental health perspectives · 2025
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119 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Allen J WilcoxEpidemiology Branch (MD A3-05), National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, P.O. Box 12233, Durham, NC 27709, USA. wilcox@niehs.nih.gov
Clarice R Weinberg
Olga Basso

Funding

Epidemiologic Study Of Reproductive Outcomes And Environmental ExposuresZIAES044003 · NIEHS · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH SCIENCES · PI WILCOX, ALLEN J · 2009 to 2020
$4.7M
Environmental And Genetic Causes Of Birth DefectsZIAES049027 · NIEHS · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH SCIENCES · PI WILCOX, ALLEN J · 2009 to 2020
$2.6M
Intramural NIH HHS
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Preterm delivery is a powerful predictor of newborn morbidity and mortality. Such problems are due to not only immaturity but also the pathologic factors (such as infection) that cause early delivery. The understanding of these underlying pathologic factors is incomplete at best. To the extent that unmeasured pathologies triggering preterm delivery also directly harm the fetus, they will confound the association of early delivery with neonatal outcomes. This, in turn, complicates studies of newborn outcomes more generally. When investigators analyze the association of risk factors with neonatal outcomes, adjustment for gestational age as a mediating variable will lead to bias. In the language of directed acyclic graphs, gestational age is a collider. The theoretical basis for colliders has been well described, and gestational age has recently been acknowledged as a possible collider. However, the impact of this problem, as well as its implications for perinatal research, has not been fully appreciated. The authors discuss the evidence for confounding and present simulations to explore how much bias is produced by adjustments for gestational age when estimating direct effects. Under plausible conditions, frank reversal of exposure-outcome associations can occur. When the purpose is causal inference, there are few settings in which adjustment for gestational age can be justified.

Indexed as

Gestational AgeBiasBirth WeightFemaleHumansInfant MortalityInfant, NewbornModels, StatisticalModels, TheoreticalPregnancyPregnancy OutcomePremature BirthTwin Studies as Topic

Identifiers

PMID21946386
PMCPMC3243938

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.