Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21935346›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2011

Retracing micro-epidemics of Chagas disease using epicenter regression.

Michael Z Levy, Dylan S Small, Daril A Vilhena, Natalie M Bowman, Vivian Kawai, Juan G Cornejo del Carpio, Eleazar Cordova-Benzaquen, Robert H Gilman, Caryn Bern, Joshua B Plotkin

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

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  14. Bed bugs (Cimex lectularius) as vectors of Trypanosoma cruzi.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2015
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Michael Z LevyCenter for Clinical Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Department of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA. mzlevy@mail.med.upenn.edu
Dylan S Small
Daril A Vilhena
Natalie M Bowman
Vivian Kawai
Juan G Cornejo del Carpio
Eleazar Cordova-Benzaquen
Robert H Gilman
Caryn Bern
Joshua B Plotkin
University of Pennsylvania · USJohns Hopkins University · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USMinisterio de Salud · NINational University of Saint Augustine · PEPrisma · PE

Funding

The ecology and epidemiology of Chagas disease in urban and rural communitiesP50AI074285 · NIAID · UNIVERSIDAD PERUANA CAYETANO HEREDIA · PI GARCIA, HECTOR HUGO · 2007 to 2011
$3.2M
Mathematical Techniques for Control of Epidemic Trypanosoma cruzi TransmissionK01AI079162 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI LEVY, MICHAEL Z · 2008 to 2012
$602k
NIAID NIH HHS 3K01AI079162-02S1NIAID NIH HHS 3K01AI079162-03S1NIAID NIH HHS 5K01 AI079162-03NIAID NIH HHS 5K01 AI079162-04NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI079162NIAID NIH HHS P50 AI074285NIAID NIH HHS P50 AI074285-03NIAID NIH HHS P50 AI074285-04
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Vector-borne transmission of Chagas disease has become an urban problem in the city of Arequipa, Peru, yet the debilitating symptoms that can occur in the chronic stage of the disease are rarely seen in hospitals in the city. The lack of obvious clinical disease in Arequipa has led to speculation that the local strain of the etiologic agent, Trypanosoma cruzi, has low chronic pathogenicity. The long asymptomatic period of Chagas disease leads us to an alternative hypothesis for the absence of clinical cases in Arequipa: transmission in the city may be so recent that most infected individuals have yet to progress to late stage disease. Here we describe a new method, epicenter regression, that allows us to infer the spatial and temporal history of disease transmission from a snapshot of a population's infection status. We show that in a community of Arequipa, transmission of T. cruzi by the insect vector Triatoma infestans occurred as a series of focal micro-epidemics, the oldest of which began only around 20 years ago. These micro-epidemics infected nearly 5% of the community before transmission of the parasite was disrupted through insecticide application in 2004. Most extant human infections in our study community arose over a brief period of time immediately prior to vector control. According to our findings, the symptoms of chronic Chagas disease are expected to be absent, even if the strain is pathogenic in the chronic phase of disease, given the long asymptomatic period of the disease and short history of intense transmission. Traducción al español disponible en Alternative Language Text S1/A Spanish translation of this article is available in Alternative Language Text S1.

Indexed as

Chagas DiseaseCross-Sectional StudiesEpidemicsHumansPeruSeroepidemiologic StudiesTrypanosoma cruzi

Identifiers

PMID21935346
PMCPMC3174153
OpenAlexW1986859341

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC0
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.