Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21899765›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2011

Pertussis resurgence in Toronto, Canada: a population-based study including test-incidence feedback modeling.

David N Fisman, Patrick Tang, Tanya Hauck, Susan Richardson, Steven J Drews, Donald E Low, Frances Jamieson

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 71 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Proteomic comparison of epidemic AustralianMicrobiology spectrum · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Genomic characterization ofMicrobial genomics · 2023
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Pertussis epidemiology in Canada, 2005-2019.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Clinical characteristics of 967 children with pertussis: a single-center analysis over an 8-year period in Beijing, China.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2022
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2020
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Prevention of pertussis: An unresolved problem.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2018
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. The Burden of Pertussis Hospitalization in HIV-Exposed and HIV-Unexposed South African Infants.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2016
    Article
  19. Effectiveness of pertussis vaccination and duration of immunity.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2016
    Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

David N FismanDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Canada. david.fisman@utoronto.ca
Patrick Tang
Tanya Hauck
Susan Richardson
Steven J Drews
Donald E Low
Frances Jamieson
Public Health Ontario · CAToronto Public Health · CACanada Research Chairs · CAMount Sinai Hospital · CAProvincial Laboratory of Public Health · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPertussis continues to challenge medical professionals; recently described increases in incidence may be due to age-cohort effects, vaccine effectiveness, or changes in testing patterns. Toronto, Canada has recently experienced increases in pertussis incidence, and provides an ideal jurisdiction for evaluating pertussis epidemiology due to centralized testing. We evaluated pertussis trends in Toronto using all available specimen data, which allowed us to control for changing testing patterns and practices.

methodsData included all pertussis culture and PCR test records for Greater Toronto from 1993 to 2007. We estimated incidence trends using Poisson regression models; complex relationships between disease incidence and test submission were explored with vector autoregressive models.

resultsFrom 1993 to 2007, 26988 specimens were submitted for testing; 2545 (9.4%) were positive. Pertussis incidence was 2 per 100,000 from 1993 to 2004 and increased to 10 per 100,000 from 2005-2007, with a concomitant 6-fold surge in test specimen submissions after the introduction of a new, more sensitive PCR assay. The relative change in incidence was less marked after adjustment for testing volumes. Bidirectional feedbacks between test positivity and test submissions were identified.

conclusionsToronto's recent surge in pertussis reflects a true increase in local disease activity; the apparent size of the outbreak has likely been magnified by increasing use of pertussis testing by clinicians, and by improved test sensitivity since 2005. These findings may be applicable to changes in pertussis epidemiology that have been noted elsewhere in North America.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksFeedbackUrban PopulationAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMaleMass ScreeningMedical RecordsModels, TheoreticalOntarioPoisson DistributionPopulation Surveillance

Identifiers

PMID21899765
PMCPMC3189138
OpenAlexW1982855789

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.