Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21892105›Full record

ArticleJournal of thoracic oncology : official publication of the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer2011

Cost-effectiveness of computed tomography screening for lung cancer in the United States.

Pamela M McMahon, Chung Yin Kong, Colleen Bouzan, Milton C Weinstein, Lauren E Cipriano, Angela C Tramontano, Bruce E Johnson, Jane C Weeks, G Scott Gazelle

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of thoracic oncology : official publication of the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 104 papers, 10 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
104citing papers in PubMed, 10 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03291587 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2018, after this paper: background citation

Implementation Of Smoking Cessation Services Within NCI NCORP Community Sites With Organized Lung Cancer Screening Programs

TypeinterventionalSponsorWake Forest University Health SciencesRan2018 to 2021Enrolled1,094ConditionsSmoking CessationArmsPersonnel Training and Coaching Calls
NCT03394703 unknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2017, after this paper: background citation

Korean Lung Cancer Screening Project for High-risk Smokers to Evaluate Effectiveness and Feasibility of Lung Cancer Screening With Low-dose Computed Tomography for Implementing National Cancer Screening Program

TypeobservationalSponsorNational Cancer Center, KoreaRan2017 to 2018Enrolled8,000ConditionsLung Cancer
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

104 citing papers in PubMed, 10 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Guideline
  6. Recommendations from the European Society of Thoracic Surgeons (ESTS) regarding computed tomography screening for lung cancer in Europe.European journal of cardio-thoracic surgery : official journal of the European Association for Cardio-thoracic Surgery · 2017
    Guideline
  7. Pooled it
  8. [(18)F]Fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography screening for lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Cancer imaging : the official publication of the International Cancer Imaging Society · 2013
    Pooled it
  9. Guideline
  10. Pooled it
  11. Trial
  12. Trial
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44 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Pamela M McMahonInstitute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA. pamela@mgh-ita.org
Chung Yin Kong
Colleen Bouzan
Milton C Weinstein
Lauren E Cipriano
Angela C Tramontano
Bruce E Johnson
Jane C Weeks
G Scott Gazelle

Funding

A Lung Cancer Policy ModelR01CA097337 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI GAZELLE, G SCOTT · 2004 to 2006
$1.1M
Applications of Multi-Criteria Optimization (AMCO) to Cancer Simulation ModelingK25CA133141 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI KONG, CHUNG YIN · 2009 to 2013
$844k
Developing approaches for modeling genomic and proteomic profiles in lung cancerR00CA126147 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI MCMAHON, PAMELA MARKELL · 2009 to 2011
$718k
NCI NIH HHS K25 CA133141NCI NIH HHS R00 CA126147NCI NIH HHS R00CA126147NCI NIH HHS R01 CA097337NCI NIH HHS R01CA97337
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionA randomized trial has demonstrated that lung cancer screening reduces mortality. Identifying participant and program characteristics that influence the cost-effectiveness of screening will help translate trial results into benefits at the population level.

methodsSix U.S. cohorts (men and women aged 50, 60, or 70 years) were simulated in an existing patient-level lung cancer model. Smoking histories reflected observed U.S. patterns. We simulated lifetime histories of 500,000 identical individuals per cohort in each scenario. Costs per quality-adjusted life-year gained ($/QALY) were estimated for each program: computed tomography screening; stand-alone smoking cessation therapies (4-30% 1-year abstinence); and combined programs.

resultsAnnual screening of current and former smokers aged 50 to 74 years costs between $126,000 and $169,000/QALY (minimum 20 pack-years of smoking) or $110,000 and $166,000/QALY (40 pack-year minimum), when compared with no screening and assuming background quit rates. Screening was beneficial but had a higher cost per QALY when the model included radiation-induced lung cancers. If screen participation doubled background quit rates, the cost of annual screening (at age 50 years, 20 pack-year minimum) was below $75,000/QALY. If screen participation halved background quit rates, benefits from screening were nearly erased. If screening had no effect on quit rates, annual screening costs more but provided fewer QALYs than annual cessation therapies. Annual combined screening/cessation therapy programs at age 50 years costs $130,500 to $159,700/QALY, when compared with annual stand-alone cessation.

conclusionsThe cost-effectiveness of computed tomography screening will likely be strongly linked to achievable smoking cessation rates. Trials and further modeling should explore the consequences of relationships between smoking behaviors and screen participation.

Indexed as

AgedCarcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHumansLung NeoplasmsMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedPrognosisQuality-Adjusted Life YearsSmoking CessationSurvival RateTomography, X-Ray ComputedUnited States

Identifiers

PMID21892105
PMCPMC3202298

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.