ArticleDemographic research2005
Forecasting sex differences in mortality in high income nations: The contribution of smoking.
Article in Demographic research, 2005. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed, 72 citations in OpenAlex.
- National Life Expectancy Lags Behind Benchmark Progress and the Role of Smoking: An International Comparison.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2025Article
- Mortality and morbidity in ageing men: Biology, Lifestyle and Environment.Reviews in endocrine & metabolic disorders · 2022Review
- Sex stratification of the trends and risk of mortality among individuals living with HIV under different transmission categories.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Future life expectancy in Europe taking into account the impact of smoking, obesity, and alcohol.eLife · 2021Article
- The Role of Smoking in Country Differences in Life Expectancy Across Europe, 1985-2014.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2021Article
- Similarities and Differences Between Sexes and Countries in the Mortality Imprint of the Smoking Epidemic in 34 Low-Mortality Countries, 1950-2014.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2020Article
- ESTIMATING AND FORECASTING THE SMOKING-ATTRIBUTABLE MORTALITY FRACTION FOR BOTH GENDERS JOINTLY IN OVER 60 COUNTRIES.The annals of applied statistics · 2020Article
- Smoking-attributable mortality by cause of death in the United States: An indirect approach.SSM - population health · 2019Article
- Why is the gender gap in life expectancy decreasing? The impact of age- and cause-specific mortality in Sweden 1997-2014.International journal of public health · 2018Article
- Advances in mortality forecasting: introduction.Genus · 2018Article
- Article
- The Adoption of Smoking and Its Effect on the Mortality Gender Gap in Netherlands: A Historical Perspective.BioMed research international · 2015Article
- Joint Probabilistic Projection of Female and Male Life Expectancy.Demographic research · 2014Article
- Article
- Estimating the effect of smoking on slowdowns in mortality declines in developed countries.Demography · 2011Article
- Article
- Forecasting United States mortality using cohort smoking histories.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2009Article
- Sex mortality differences in the United States: the role of cohort smoking patterns.Demography · 2006Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
To address the question of whether sex differences in mortality will in the future rise, fall, or stay the same, this study uses relative smoking prevalence among males and females to forecast future changes in relative smoking-attributed mortality. Data on 21 high income nations from 1975 to 2000 and a lag between smoking prevalence and mortality allow forecasts up to 2020. Averaged across nations, the results for logged male/female ratios in smoking mortality reveal equalization of the sex differential. However, continued divergence in non-smoking mortality rates would counter convergence in smoking mortality rates and lead to future increases in the female advantage overall, particularly in nations at late stages of the cigarette epidemic (such as the United States and the United Kingdom).
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.