Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21858724›Full record

ArticleJournal of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics2011

Modelling of the outcome of non-inferiority trials by integration of historical data.

Alberto Russu, Erik van Zwet, Giuseppe De Nicolao, Oscar Della Pasqua

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Alberto RussuDepartment of Computer Engineering and Systems Science, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
Erik van Zwet
Giuseppe De Nicolao
Oscar Della Pasqua

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The approval and differentiation of new compounds in clinical development often demands non-inferiority trials, in which the test drug is compared against a reference treatment. However, non-inferiority trials impose major operational burden with serious ethical and scientific implications for the development of new medicines. Traditional approaches make limited use of historical information on placebo and neglect inter-trial variability, relying on the constancy assumption that the control-to-placebo effect size is maintained across trials. We propose a model-based approach that overcomes such limitations and may be used as a tool to explore differentiation during clinical development. Parameter distributions are introduced which reflect the heterogeneity of trials. The method is illustrated using data from impetigo trials. Based on simulation scenarios, this Bayesian technique yields a definitive, consistent increase in the statistical power over two accepted statistical methods, allowing lower sample size requirements for the assessment of non-inferiority.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremClinical Trials as TopicResearch DesignSoftwareAnti-Bacterial AgentsClinical Trials, Phase III as TopicDatabases, FactualDouble-Blind MethodFusidic AcidHumansImpetigoPlacebosSample SizeTreatment OutcomeAnti-Bacterial AgentsFusidic AcidPlacebos

Identifiers

PMID21858724
PMCPMC3172410

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.