Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21851768›Full record

ArticleSexual health2011

Triple class experience after initiation of combination antiretroviral treatment in Australia: survival and projections.

Sadaf Marashi Pour, Ian Woolley, Peter Canavan, John Chuah, Darren B Russell, Matthew Law, Kathy Petoumenos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Sexual health, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Sadaf Marashi PourNational Centre in HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia. sadaf.marashipour@doh.health.nsw.gov.au
Ian Woolley
Peter Canavan
John Chuah
Darren B Russell
Matthew Law
Kathy Petoumenos

Funding

The Asia-Pacific HIV Research CollaborationU01AI069907 · NIAID · FOUNDATION FOR AIDS RESEARCH · PI ANNETTE H SOHN · 2006 to 2026
$44.8M
NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069907NIAID NIH HHS U01-AI069907
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPatients who have become triple class experienced (TCE) are at a high risk of exhausting available treatment options. This study aims to investigate factors associated with becoming TCE and to explore the effect of becoming TCE on survival. We also project the prevalence of TCE in Australia to 2012.

methodsPatients were defined as TCE when they stopped a combination antiretroviral treatment (cART) that introduced the third of the three major antiretroviral classes. Cox proportional hazards models were used to investigate factors associated with TCE and the effect of TCE on survival. To project TCE prevalence, we used predicted rates of TCE by fitting a Poisson regression model, together with the estimated number of patients who started cART in each year in Australia, assuming a mortality rate of 1.5 per 100 person-years.

resultsOf the 1498 eligible patients, 526 became TCE. Independent predictors of a higher risk of TCE included current CD4 counts below 200cellsμL(-1) and earlier calendar periods. No significant difference in survival was observed between those who were TCE and those who were not yet TCE. An increasing number of patients are using cART in Australia and if current trends continue, the number of patients who are TCE is estimated to increase from 2800 in 2003 to 5000 in 2012.

conclusionOur results suggest that the prevalence of TCE in Australia is estimated to plateau after 2003. However, as an increasing number of patients are becoming TCE, it is necessary to develop new drugs that come from new classes or do not have overlapping resistance.

Indexed as

AdultAntiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveAustraliaCohort StudiesFemaleForecastingHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsSurvival AnalysisUtilization Review

Identifiers

PMID21851768
PMCPMC3332145

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.