Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21751227›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2011

Avoiding bias in mixed model inference for fixed effects.

Matthew J Gurka, Lloyd J Edwards, Keith E Muller

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed.

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  18. On the Distribution of Summary Statistics for Missing Data.Communications in statistics: theory and methods · 2019
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Matthew J GurkaDepartment of Community Medicine, School of Medicine, West Virginia University, PO Box 9190, Morgantown, WV 26506-9190, USA. mgurka@hsc.wvu.edu
Lloyd J Edwards
Keith E Muller

Funding

An Adaptation of Project Northland for Urban YouthR01AA013458 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI KOMRO, KELLI ANN · 2001 to 2005
$11.5M
Statistics and Data Coordinating CenterU54DE019261 · NIDCR · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI RILEY, JOSEPH L · 2008 to 2012
$5.4M
Multilevel and Longitudinal Study Sample Size Tools for Behavioral ScientistsR01DE020832 · NIDCR · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI MULLER, KEITH E · 2011 to 2014
$2.3M
Ancillary Functional Studies for the CCTRNR01HL091005 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI PEPINE, CARL J, SEGAL, MARK S. · 2008 to 2011
$1.5M
Advanced Postgraduate Program in Clinical InvestigationK30RR022258 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI LIMACHER, MARIAN C. · 2005 to 2009
$1.3M
Development of a childhood metabolic syndrome risk score for predicting adult disR21DK085363 · NIDDK · WEST VIRGINIA UNIVERSITY · PI DEBOER, MARK DANIEL, GURKA, MATTHEW JAMES · 2010 to 2011
$231k
Chronic Illness and Developmental Health Trends in ChildrenR03HD055298 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA · PI GURKA, MATTHEW JAMES · 2008 to 2009
$152k
NCRR NIH HHS K30 RR022258NCRR NIH HHS K30-RR022258NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL091005NHLBI NIH HHS R01-HL091005NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA013458NIAAA NIH HHS R01-AA013458-01NICHD NIH HHS R03 HD055298NICHD NIH HHS R03-HD055298NIDCR NIH HHS R01 DE020832NIDCR NIH HHS R01DE020832-01A1NIDCR NIH HHS U54 DE019261NIDCR NIH HHS U54-DE019261NIDDK NIH HHS R21 DK085363NIDDK NIH HHS R21-DK085363-01A1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Analysis of a large longitudinal study of children motivated our work. The results illustrate how accurate inference for fixed effects in a general linear mixed model depends on the covariance model selected for the data. Simulation studies have revealed biased inference for the fixed effects with an underspecified covariance structure, at least in small samples. One underspecification common for longitudinal data assumes a simple random intercept and conditional independence of the within-subject errors (i.e., compound symmetry). We prove that the underspecification creates bias in both small and large samples, indicating that recruiting more participants will not alleviate inflation of the Type I error rate associated with fixed effect inference. Enumerations and simulations help quantify the bias and evaluate strategies for avoiding it. When practical, backwards selection of the covariance model, starting with an unstructured pattern, provides the best protection. Tutorial papers can guide the reader in minimizing the chances of falling into the often spurious software trap of nonconvergence. In some cases, the logic of the study design and the scientific context may support a structured pattern, such as an autoregressive structure. The sandwich estimator provides a valid alternative in sufficiently large samples. Authors reporting mixed-model analyses should note possible biases in fixed effects inference because of the following: (i) the covariance model selection process; (ii) the specific covariance model chosen; or (iii) the test approximation.

Indexed as

BiasLinear ModelsLongitudinal StudiesAdolescentAsthmaChild DevelopmentChild, PreschoolComputer SimulationHumansInfant

Identifiers

PMID21751227
PMCPMC3396027

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.