Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21727183›Full record

ReviewExperimental biology and medicine (Maywood, N.J.)2011

The use of mathematical models to inform influenza pandemic preparedness and response.

Joseph T Wu, Benjamin J Cowling

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Experimental biology and medicine (Maywood, N.J.), 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Mathematical modelling for pandemic preparedness in Canada: Learning from COVID-19.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2024
    Article
  5. Physical radiofrequency adjuvant enhances immune responses to influenza H5N1 vaccination.FASEB journal : official publication of the Federation of American Societies for Experimental Biology · 2022
    Article
  6. Review of fractional epidemic models.Applied mathematical modelling · 2021
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Infectious disease modeling methods as tools for informing response to novel influenza viruses of unknown pandemic potential.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2015
    Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Indemics: An Interactive High-Performance Computing Framework for Data Intensive Epidemic Modeling.ACM transactions on modeling and computer simulation : a publication of the Association for Computing Machinery · 2014
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Deviations in influenza seasonality: odd coincidence or obscure consequence?Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases · 2012
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Joseph T WuDepartment of Community Medicine and School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong. joewu@hku.hk
Benjamin J Cowling

Funding

Understanding and controlling antibiotic resistanceU54GM088558 · NIGMS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI HANAGE, WILLIAM · 2009 to 2018
$26.4M
NIGMS NIH HHS 1 U54 GM088558NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM088558
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Influenza pandemics have occurred throughout history and were associated with substantial excess mortality and morbidity. Mathematical models of infectious diseases permit quantitative description of epidemic processes based on the underlying biological mechanisms. Mathematical models have been widely used in the past decade to aid pandemic planning by allowing detailed predictions of the speed of spread of an influenza pandemic and the likely effectiveness of alternative control strategies. During the initial waves of the 2009 influenza pandemic, mathematical models were used to track the spread of the virus, predict the time course of the pandemic and assess the likely impact of large-scale vaccination. While mathematical modeling has made substantial contributions to influenza pandemic preparedness, its use as a realtime tool for pandemic control is currently limited by the lack of essential surveillance information such as serological data. Mathematical modeling provided a useful framework for analyzing and interpreting surveillance data during the 2009 influenza pandemic, for highlighting limitations in existing pandemic surveillance systems, and for guiding how these systems should be strengthened in order to cope with future epidemics of influenza or other emerging infectious diseases.

Indexed as

PandemicsDisaster PlanningDisease OutbreaksHumansInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesModels, TheoreticalPopulation SurveillanceInfluenza Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID21727183
PMCPMC3178755

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.