ArticleBMC public health2011
Agent-based simulation for weekend-extension strategies to mitigate influenza outbreaks.
Article in BMC public health, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Effectiveness of workplace social distancing measures in reducing influenza transmission: a systematic review.BMC public health · 2018Pooled it
- Article
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- Effectiveness of social distancing interventions in containing COVID-19 incidence: International evidence using Kalman filter.Economics and human biology · 2022Article
- How do social media and individual behaviors affect epidemic transmission and control?The Science of the total environment · 2021Article
- COVID surveillance robot: Monitoring social distancing constraints in indoor scenarios.PloS one · 2021Article
- When is SARS-CoV-2 in your shopping list?Mathematical biosciences · 2020Article
- A Comprehensive Survey of Enabling and Emerging Technologies for Social Distancing-Part I: Fundamentals and Enabling Technologies.IEEE access : practical innovations, open solutions · 2020Article
- A cyberGIS approach to spatiotemporally explicit uncertainty and global sensitivity analysis for agent-based modeling of vector-borne disease transmission.Annals of the American Association of Geographers · 2020Article
- Policy resistance undermines superspreader vaccination strategies for influenza.PLoS computational biology · 2013Article
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1 author.
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Abstract
backgroundNon-pharmaceutical strategies are vital in curtailing impacts of influenza and have been intensively studied in public health. However, few strategies have explicitly utilized the weekend effect, which has been widely reported to be capable of reducing influenza infections. This study aims to explore six weekend-extension strategies against seasonal and pandemic flu outbreaks.
methodsThe weekend-extension strategies were designed to extend regular two-day weekend by one, two and three days, respectively, and in combination with either a continuous or discontinuous pattern. Their effectiveness was evaluated using an established agent-based spatially explicit simulation model in the urbanized area of Buffalo, NY, US.
resultsIf the extensions last more than two days, the weekend-extension strategies can remarkably reduce the overall disease attack rate of seasonal flu. Particularly, a three-day continuous extension is sufficient to suppress the epidemic and confine the spread of disease. For the pandemic flu, the weekend-extension strategies only produce a few mitigation effects until the extensions exceed three days. Sensitivity analysis indicated that a compliance level above 75% is necessary for the weekend-extension strategies to take effects.
conclusionThis research is the first attempt to incorporate the weekend effect into influenza mitigation strategies. The results suggest that appropriate extensions of the regular two-day weekend can be a potential measure to fight against influenza outbreaks, while minimizing interruptions on normal rhythms of socio-economy. The concept of weekend extension would be particularly useful if there were a lack of vaccine stockpiles, e.g., in countries with limited health resources, or in the case of unknown emerging infectious diseases.
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