Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21688282›Full record

ArticleHepatology (Baltimore, Md.)2011

The natural history of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis: an international collaborative study.

Neeraj Bhala, Paul Angulo, David van der Poorten, Eric Lee, Jason M Hui, Giorgio Saracco, Leon A Adams, Phunchai Charatcharoenwitthaya, Joanne H Topping, Elisabetta Bugianesi and 2 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readComparative StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 190 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
190citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
25.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

190 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 451 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Guideline
  6. Association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and risk for hepatocellular cancer, based on systematic review.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2012
    Pooled it
  7. Trial
  8. Efficacy of combining pentoxiphylline and vitamin E versus vitamin E alone in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis- A randomized pilot study.Indian journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Indian Society of Gastroenterology · 2021
    Trial
  9. Trial
  10. Trial
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  12. Effect of weight loss on magnetic resonance imaging estimation of liver fat and volume in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2015
    Trial
  13. Trial
  14. Trial
  15. Article
  16. Characteristics and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Cirrhosis due to MASLD in Sweden.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article

130 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 9 institutions in 5 countries.

Neeraj BhalaClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit, Richard Doll Building, Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, United Kingdom. neeraj.bhala@ctsu.ox.ac.uk
Paul Angulo
David van der Poorten
Eric Lee
Jason M Hui
Giorgio Saracco
Leon A Adams
Phunchai Charatcharoenwitthaya
Joanne H Topping
Elisabetta Bugianesi
Christopher P Day
Jacob George
University of Sydney · AUNewcastle University · GBMayo Clinic · USSiriraj Hospital · THUniversity of Bologna · ITUniversity of Kentucky · USUniversity of Oxford · GBUniversity of Turin · ITWestmead Institute · AU

Funding

Prognosis of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseR01DK082426 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF KENTUCKY · PI ANGULO, PAUL · 2009 to 2011
$526k
Medical Research Council G0701732NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK082426
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

unlabelledInformation on the long-term prognosis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is limited. We sought to describe the long-term morbidity and mortality of patients with NAFLD with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis by prospectively studying 247 such patients from four international centers (in Australia, USA, UK and Italy). Their natural history was then compared with 264 patients with HCV infection who were either naïve or non-responders to treatment. Both cohorts were Child-Pugh class A and had advanced fibrosis (stage 3) or cirrhosis (stage 4) confirmed by liver biopsy at enrollment. In the NAFLD cohort, followed up for a mean of 85.6 months (range, 6-297), there were 48 (19.4%) liver-related complications and 33 (13.4%) deaths or liver transplants. In the HCV cohort, followed up for 74.9 months (mean; range, 6-238), there were 47 (16.7%) liver-related complications and 25 (9.4%) deaths or liver transplants. When adjusting for baseline differences in age and gender, the cumulative incidence of liver-related complications was lower in the NAFLD than the HCV cohort (P = 0.03), including incident hepatocellular cancer (6 versus 18; P = 0.03), but that of cardiovascular events (P = 0.17) and overall mortality (P = 0.6) were similar in both groups. In the NAFLD cohort, platelet count, stage 4 fibrosis, lowered platelet count, and lowered serum cholesterol and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels were associated with liver-related complications; an aspartate aminotransferase/ALT ratio >1 and older age were associated with overall mortality, and higher serum bilirubin levels and stage 4 fibrosis were associated with liver-related mortality.

conclusionsPatients with NAFLD with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis have lower rates of liver-related complications and hepatocellular cancer than corresponding patients with HCV infection, but similar overall mortality. Some clinical and laboratory features predict liver-related complications and other outcomes in patients with NAFLD.

Indexed as

AdultAustraliaBiopsy, NeedleCause of DeathCohort StudiesConfidence IntervalsDisease ProgressionFatty LiverFemaleHepatitis C, ChronicHumansImmunohistochemistryInternational CooperationItalyLiver CirrhosisLiver Function Tests

Identifiers

PMID21688282
PMCPMC3238674
OpenAlexW2061405430

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.