Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21673555›Full record

ArticleAIDS (London, England)2011

Development and validation of systems for rational use of viral load testing in adults receiving first-line ART in sub-Saharan Africa.

Michael Abouyannis, Joris Menten, Agnes Kiragga, Lutgarde Lynen, Gavin Robertson, Barbara Castelnuovo, Yukari C Manabe, Steven J Reynolds, Lesley Roberts

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS (London, England), 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Michael AbouyannisUniversity of Birmingham, UK.
Joris Menten
Agnes Kiragga
Lutgarde Lynen
Gavin Robertson
Barbara Castelnuovo
Yukari C Manabe
Steven J Reynolds
Lesley Roberts

Funding

International Center for Excellence in Research (ICER) in Uganda: Impact of ARVsZIAAI001040 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI REYNOLDS, STEVEN · 2009 to 2025
$23.5M
Intramural NIH HHS Z99 AI999999NIAID NIH HHS Y99 AI999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWorld Health Organization (WHO) immunological and clinical criteria for monitoring first-line antiretroviral treatment (ART) offer low accuracy for predicting viral failure. Targeting viral load assays to those at high risk has been recommended and a system to do this has been developed in Cambodia. Systems for use in sub-Saharan African populations were evaluated.

methodsA new Ugandan-based scoring system for targeting viral load assays was developed from data from the first 4 years of a Ugandan cohort (N = 559) receiving first-line ART. The accuracy of this, the Cambodian system and the WHO criteria to predict viral failure, through targeting viral load assays, were compared in a separate population of 496 Ugandans.

resultsThe new Ugandan scoring system included CD4 cell count, mean cell volume, adherence, and HIV-associated clinical events as predictors of viral failure. In the validation population, the Ugandan system undertook viral load assays in 61 (12.3%) cases offering 20.5% sensitivity and 100% positive predictive value (PPV) to predict viral failure. The Cambodian system undertook viral load assays in 33 (6.7%) cases producing 23.1% sensitivity and 90.0% PPV. WHO criteria recommended viral load assays in 72 (14.5%) cases offering 30.8% sensitivity and 100% PPV.

conclusionLocally developed algorithms based on clinical and immunological criteria may offer little additional accuracy over WHO criteria for targeting viral load assays. When possible, confirming viral load before switching therapy is recommended. Scoring systems are more flexible than WHO criteria in allowing ART providers to choose the proportion of the population that undergo targeted viral load testing.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsHIV InfectionsAdultAnti-Retroviral AgentsCambodiaCD4 Lymphocyte CountDrug Therapy, CombinationFemaleHumansMalePrognosisSensitivity and SpecificityTreatment FailureUgandaViral LoadWorld Health OrganizationAnti-Retroviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID21673555
PMCPMC3725464

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.