Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21670087›Full record

ArticleMolecular biology and evolution2011

A random effects branch-site model for detecting episodic diversifying selection.

Sergei L Kosakovsky Pond, Ben Murrell, Mathieu Fourment, Simon D W Frost, Wayne Delport, Konrad Scheffler

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular biology and evolution, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 246 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
246citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

246 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  8. Review
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  16. Article
  17. Molecular Footprints ofAdvances in virology · 2024
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

186 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Sergei L Kosakovsky PondDepartment of Medicine, University of California-San Diego, CA, USA. spond@ucsd.edu
Ben Murrell
Mathieu Fourment
Simon D W Frost
Wayne Delport
Konrad Scheffler

Funding

VirologyP30AI036214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI SUSAN JANET LITTLE · 1994 to 2026
$78.4M
Primary Infection Resource Consortium (PIRC)R24AI106039 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LITTLE, SUSAN JANET · 2013 to 2021
$23.1M
Southern California Primary Infection ProgramU01AI043638 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI RICHMAN, DOUGLAS D · 1998 to 2010
$21.3M
Biomathematical analysis of viral dynamics/evolutionR01AI047745 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI RICHMAN, DOUGLAS D · 2001 to 2011
$3.2M
HyPhy: Molecular Evolutionary AnalysesR01GM093939 · NIGMS · TEMPLE UNIV OF THE COMMONWEALTH · PI MUSE, SPENCER V., POND, SERGEI L KOSAKOVSKY · 2010 to 2018
$2.5M
Modeling HIV Escape from Neutralizing Antibody ResponesR01AI057167 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI FROST, SIMON DAVID WILLIAM · 2004 to 2008
$1.2M
Biomathematical Analysis of Viral Dynamics and EvolutionR56AI047745 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI POND, SERGEI L KOSAKOVSKY · 2012 to 2012
$365k
BIOMATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS OF VIRAL DYNAMICS AND EVOLUTIONR21AI047745 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN DIEGO · PI RICHMAN, DOUGLAS D · 2000 to 2000
$308k
NIAID NIH HHS AI36214NIAID NIH HHS AI43638NIAID NIH HHS AI47745NIAID NIH HHS AI57167NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI036214NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI047745NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI057167NIAID NIH HHS R21 AI047745NIAID NIH HHS R24 AI106039NIAID NIH HHS R56 AI047745NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI043638NIGMS NIH HHS GM093939NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM093939
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Adaptive evolution frequently occurs in episodic bursts, localized to a few sites in a gene, and to a small number of lineages in a phylogenetic tree. A popular class of "branch-site" evolutionary models provides a statistical framework to search for evidence of such episodic selection. For computational tractability, current branch-site models unrealistically assume that all branches in the tree can be partitioned a priori into two rigid classes--"foreground" branches that are allowed to undergo diversifying selective bursts and "background" branches that are negatively selected or neutral. We demonstrate that this assumption leads to unacceptably high rates of false positives or false negatives when the evolutionary process along background branches strongly deviates from modeling assumptions. To address this problem, we extend Felsenstein's pruning algorithm to allow efficient likelihood computations for models in which variation over branches (and not just sites) is described in the random effects likelihood framework. This enables us to model the process at every branch-site combination as a mixture of three Markov substitution models--our model treats the selective class of every branch at a particular site as an unobserved state that is chosen independently of that at any other branch. When benchmarked on a previously published set of simulated sequences, our method consistently matched or outperformed existing branch-site tests in terms of power and error rates. Using three empirical data sets, previously analyzed for episodic selection, we discuss how modeling assumptions can influence inference in practical situations.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsEvolution, MolecularModels, GeneticPhylogenySelection, GeneticCodonLikelihood FunctionsMarkov ChainsCodon

Identifiers

PMID21670087
PMCPMC3247808

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.