Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21632455›Full record

Trial reportThe oncologist2011

Tumor status at 12 weeks predicts survival in advanced colorectal cancer: findings from NCCTG N9741.

James M Heun, Axel Grothey, Megan E Branda, Richard M Goldberg, Daniel J Sargent

Registry-linked trialAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIComparative StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in The oncologist, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00003594 (A Randomized Phase III Trial of Three Different Regimens of CPT-11 Plus 5-Fluorouracil and Leucovorin Compared to 5-Fluorouracil and Leucovorin in Patients With Advanced Adenocarcinoma of the Colon and Rectum), which is not on this map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00003594 phase3completednot on this map

A Randomized Phase III Trial of Three Different Regimens of CPT-11 Plus 5-Fluorouracil and Leucovorin Compared to 5-Fluorouracil and Leucovorin in Patients With Advanced Adenocarcinoma of the Colon and Rectum

TypeinterventionalSponsorAlliance for Clinical Trials in OncologyRan1998 to 2004Enrolled1,691ConditionsColorectal CancerArmsirinotecan, fluorouracil, leucovorin calcium, oxaliplatin
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Resampling the N9741 trial to compare tumor dynamic versus conventional end points in randomized phase II trials.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2015
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Evaluation of alternate categorical tumor metrics and cut points for response categorization using the RECIST 1.1 data warehouse.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2014
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

James M HeunMayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota 55905, USA.
Axel Grothey
Megan E Branda
Richard M Goldberg
Daniel J Sargent

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeWe explored the prognostic value of actual tumor measurements (TM) versus World Health Organization (WHO) criteria as three-level (responder, stable, and progression) and two-level (responder and non-responder) variables at 12 and 24 weeks as predictors of survival in Intergroup Trial N9741, a phase III trial in metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC).

methodsAll patients with measurable disease (N = 1,188) were included. The percentage changes in TM from baseline to 12 and 24 weeks were calculated. The prognostic values of TM versus WHO criteria (as three- and two-level variables) at 12 and 24 weeks were compared, using Cox models for overall survival (OS) in a landmark analysis, adjusting for baseline tumor size, performance status, and treatment arm.

resultsTumor status at 12 weeks by WHO criteria (three or two levels) or actual TM were all strongly associated with OS. Actual TM provided no meaningful additional benefit compared with the three-level WHO criteria. Tumor status at 24 weeks was also strongly associated with survival, but added no additional prognostic value compared with the 12-week assessment. At 12 weeks, actual TM improved prognostic characterization of patients with WHO status of response, but provided no additional value in patients with stable disease or progression.

conclusionsIn N9741, the use of actual TM, or following tumor status beyond 12 weeks, did not improve survival prediction compared with a single three-level response assessment at 12 weeks, suggesting that 12-week tumor status could be an appropriate phase II trial endpoint in metastatic CRC.

Indexed as

AgedAntimetabolites, AntineoplasticAntineoplastic AgentsAntineoplastic Agents, PhytogenicAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsCamptothecinColorectal NeoplasmsDisease-Free SurvivalEndpoint DeterminationFemaleFluorouracilHumansIrinotecanLeucovorinLinear ModelsMaleAntimetabolites, AntineoplasticAntineoplastic AgentsAntineoplastic Agents, PhytogenicCamptothecinFluorouracilIrinotecanLeucovorinOrganoplatinum CompoundsOxaliplatinVitamin B Complex

Identifiers

PMID21632455
PMCPMC3228205

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.