ArticlePloS one2011
A Bayesian framework for parameter estimation in dynamical models.
Article in PloS one, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed.
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- On the influence of prior information evaluated by fully Bayesian criteria in a personalized whole-brain model of epilepsy spread.PLoS computational biology · 2021Article
- Data-driven modelling and spatial complexity supports heterogeneity-based integrative management for eliminating Simulium neavei-transmitted river blindness.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- Bayesian inference for parameter estimation in lactoferrin-mediated iron transport across blood-brain barrier.Biochimica et biophysica acta. General subjects · 2020Article
- A primer on model selection using the Akaike Information Criterion.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2020Article
- Sex-Specific Asymmetrical Attack Rates in Combined Sexual-Vectorial Transmission Epidemics.Microorganisms · 2019Article
- The Decade-Long Chinese Methadone Maintenance Therapy Yields Large Population and Economic Benefits for Drug Users in Reducing Harm, HIV and HCV Disease Burden.Frontiers in public health · 2019Article
- Optimal control approach for establishing wMelPop Wolbachia infection among wild Aedes aegypti populations.Journal of mathematical biology · 2018Article
- Predictive accuracy of particle filtering in dynamic models supporting outbreak projections.BMC infectious diseases · 2017Article
- Mathematical Modeling of "Chronic" Infectious Diseases: Unpacking the Black Box.Open forum infectious diseases · 2017Article
- Clinical trials: The mathematics of falling vaccine efficacy with rising disease incidence.Vaccine · 2016Article
- Estimating the Attack Ratio of Dengue Epidemics under Time-varying Force of Infection using Aggregated Notification Data.Scientific reports · 2015Article
- Bayesian calibration of simulation models for supporting management of the elimination of the macroparasitic disease, Lymphatic Filariasis.Parasites & vectors · 2015Article
- On the uniqueness of epidemic models fitting a normalized curve of removed individuals.Journal of mathematical biology · 2015Article
- Sequential modelling of the effects of mass drug treatments on anopheline-mediated lymphatic filariasis infection in Papua New Guinea.PloS one · 2013Article
- Modeling and statistical analysis of the spatio-temporal patterns of seasonal influenza in Israel.PloS one · 2012Article
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3 authors.
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Abstract
Mathematical models in biology are powerful tools for the study and exploration of complex dynamics. Nevertheless, bringing theoretical results to an agreement with experimental observations involves acknowledging a great deal of uncertainty intrinsic to our theoretical representation of a real system. Proper handling of such uncertainties is key to the successful usage of models to predict experimental or field observations. This problem has been addressed over the years by many tools for model calibration and parameter estimation. In this article we present a general framework for uncertainty analysis and parameter estimation that is designed to handle uncertainties associated with the modeling of dynamic biological systems while remaining agnostic as to the type of model used. We apply the framework to fit an SIR-like influenza transmission model to 7 years of incidence data in three European countries: Belgium, the Netherlands and Portugal.
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