Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21612363›Full record

ArticleBiosecurity and bioterrorism : biodefense strategy, practice, and science2011

Improving the evidence base for decision making during a pandemic: the example of 2009 influenza A/H1N1.

Marc Lipsitch, Lyn Finelli, Richard T Heffernan, Gabriel M Leung, Stephen C Redd, 2009 H1n1 Surveillance Group

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biosecurity and bioterrorism : biodefense strategy, practice, and science, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 90 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
90citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

90 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2020
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. The importance of playing the long game when it comes to pandemic surveillance.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. PAN-cODE: COVID-19 forecasting using conditional latent ODEs.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2022
    Article
  20. Article

30 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Marc LipsitchDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Harvard University, 677 Huntington Ave., Boston, MA 02115, USA. mlipsitc@hsph.harvard.edu
Lyn Finelli
Richard T Heffernan
Gabriel M Leung
Stephen C Redd
2009 H1n1 Surveillance Group

Funding

Understanding and controlling antibiotic resistanceU54GM088558 · NIGMS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI HANAGE, WILLIAM · 2009 to 2018
$26.4M
Medical Research Council MC_U105260556NIGMS NIH HHS U54GM088558
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This article synthesizes and extends discussions held during an international meeting on "Surveillance for Decision Making: The Example of 2009 Pandemic Influenza A/H1N1," held at the Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics (CCDD), Harvard School of Public Health, on June 14 and 15, 2010. The meeting involved local, national, and global health authorities and academics representing 7 countries on 4 continents. We define the needs for surveillance in terms of the key decisions that must be made in response to a pandemic: how large a response to mount and which control measures to implement, for whom, and when. In doing so, we specify the quantitative evidence required to make informed decisions. We then describe the sources of surveillance and other population-based data that can presently--or in the future--form the basis for such evidence, and the interpretive tools needed to process raw surveillance data. We describe other inputs to decision making besides epidemiologic and surveillance data, and we conclude with key lessons of the 2009 pandemic for designing and planning surveillance in the future.

Indexed as

Decision Making, OrganizationalInfluenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypePandemicsCommunicable Diseases, EmergingData CollectionData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansInfluenza, HumanPopulation SurveillancePublic OpinionSeverity of Illness IndexVaccination

Identifiers

PMID21612363
PMCPMC3102310

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.