Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21610218›Full record

ArticleCancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology2011

Estrogen metabolism and exposure in a genotypic-phenotypic model for breast cancer risk prediction.

Philip S Crooke, Christina Justenhoven, Hiltrud Brauch, GENICA Consortium, Sheila Dawling, Nady Roodi, Kathryn S P Higginbotham, W Dale Plummer, Peggy A Schuyler, Melinda E Sanders and 4 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Association Between ESR1 PvuII, XbaI, and P325P Polymorphisms and Breast Cancer Susceptibility: A Meta-Analysis.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2015
    Pooled it
  3. Genotype and Haplotype Analysis BetweenHealth science reports · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Expression ofOncology letters · 2017
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Assessing the effects of estrogen on the dynamics of breast cancer.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2012
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Philip S CrookeDepartment of Mathematics, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 37232, USA.
Christina Justenhoven
Hiltrud Brauch
GENICA Consortium
Sheila Dawling
Nady Roodi
Kathryn S P Higginbotham
W Dale Plummer
Peggy A Schuyler
Melinda E Sanders
David L Page
Jeffrey R Smith
William D Dupont
Fritz F Parl
Dr. Margarete Fischer-Bosch-Institute of Clinical Pharmacology · DEVanderbilt University · US

Funding

Tumor Immunology and Microenvironment Research ProgramP30CA068485 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI MATTHEW J TYSKA · 1995 to 2026
$172.8M
TISSUE CoreP50CA098131 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI PARK, BEN HO, PIETENPOL, JENNIFER A · 2003 to 2024
$48.7M
TrainingU54CA113007 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI QUARANTA, VITO · 2004 to 2014
$19.2M
EPIDEMIOLOGY OF MOLECULAR RISK FACTORS FOR BREAST CANCERR01CA050468 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI DUPONT, WILLIAM D · 1990 to 2011
$5.9M
NCI NIH HHS 1P50 CA098131-01NCI NIH HHS P30 CA068485NCI NIH HHS P50 CA098131NCI NIH HHS R01 CA050468NCI NIH HHS U54 CA113007NCI NIH HHS U54CA113007
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCurrent models of breast cancer risk prediction do not directly reflect mammary estrogen metabolism or genetic variability in exposure to carcinogenic estrogen metabolites.

methodsWe developed a model that simulates the kinetic effect of genetic variants of the enzymes CYP1A1, CYP1B1, and COMT on the production of the main carcinogenic estrogen metabolite, 4-hydroxyestradiol (4-OHE(2)), expressed as area under the curve metric (4-OHE(2)-AUC). The model also incorporates phenotypic factors (age, body mass index, hormone replacement therapy, oral contraceptives, and family history), which plausibly influence estrogen metabolism and the production of 4-OHE(2). We applied the model to two independent, population-based breast cancer case-control groups, the German GENICA study (967 cases, 971 controls) and the Nashville Breast Cohort (NBC; 465 cases, 885 controls).

resultsIn the GENICA study, premenopausal women at the 90th percentile of 4-OHE(2)-AUC among control subjects had a risk of breast cancer that was 2.30 times that of women at the 10th control 4-OHE(2)-AUC percentile (95% CI: 1.7-3.2, P = 2.9 × 10(-7)). This relative risk was 1.89 (95% CI: 1.5-2.4, P = 2.2 × 10(-8)) in postmenopausal women. In the NBC, this relative risk in postmenopausal women was 1.81 (95% CI: 1.3-2.6, P = 7.6 × 10(-4)), which increased to 1.83 (95% CI: 1.4-2.3, P = 9.5 × 10(-7)) when a history of proliferative breast disease was included in the model.

conclusionsThe model combines genotypic and phenotypic factors involved in carcinogenic estrogen metabolite production and cumulative estrogen exposure to predict breast cancer risk. IMPACT: The estrogen carcinogenesis-based model has the potential to provide personalized risk estimates.

Indexed as

Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseModels, TheoreticalAdultAlgorithmsArea Under CurveAryl Hydrocarbon HydroxylasesBreast NeoplasmsCytochrome P-450 CYP1A1Cytochrome P-450 CYP1B1EstradiolEstrogensEstrogens, CatecholFemaleGenotypeHumansMiddle Aged4-hydroxyestradiolAryl Hydrocarbon HydroxylasesCYP1B1 protein, humanCytochrome P-450 CYP1A1Cytochrome P-450 CYP1B1EstradiolEstrogensEstrogens, Catechol

Identifiers

PMID21610218
PMCPMC3472969
OpenAlexW2155599333

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.