Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21552331›Full record

ArticlePLoS genetics2011

Beyond missing heritability: prediction of complex traits.

Robert Makowsky, Nicholas M Pajewski, Yann C Klimentidis, Ana I Vazquez, Christine W Duarte, David B Allison, Gustavo de los Campos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS genetics, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 164 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
164citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

164 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  7. Harnessing big data for enhanced genome-wide prediction in winter wheat breeding.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2025
    Article
  8. Population structure limits the use of genomic data for predicting phenotypes and managing genetic resources in forest trees.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
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  16. Statistical Methods for Disease Risk Prediction with Genotype Data.Methods in molecular biology (Clifton, N.J.) · 2023
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

104 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Robert MakowskyDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Alabama, United States of America. makowsky@uab.edu
Nicholas M Pajewski
Yann C Klimentidis
Ana I Vazquez
Christine W Duarte
David B Allison
Gustavo de los Campos

Funding

Why is the prevalence of obesity so high in U.S. Southern States? Regional predictors of BMI and obesity treatment response.P30DK056336 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI James O Hill · 2000 to 2026
$31.9M
MECHANISMS OF HYPERTENSION AND CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASEST32HL007457 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Martin E Young · 1985 to 2026
$8.6M
UAB Statistical Genetics Post-Doctoral Training ProgramT32HL072757 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI TIWARI, HEMANT K. · 2003 to 2016
$3.8M
Genome-wide Structured Association Testing & Regional Admixture MappingR01GM077490 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI LIU, NIANJUN · 2007 to 2010
$1.1M
Obesity and MortalityR01DK076771 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI ALLISON, DAVID B · 2007 to 2009
$753k
NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007457NHLBI NIH HHS T32-HL007457NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL072757NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK056336NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK076771NIDDK NIH HHS R01DK076771NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM077490NIGMS NIH HHS R01GM077490
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite rapid advances in genomic technology, our ability to account for phenotypic variation using genetic information remains limited for many traits. This has unfortunately resulted in limited application of genetic data towards preventive and personalized medicine, one of the primary impetuses of genome-wide association studies. Recently, a large proportion of the "missing heritability" for human height was statistically explained by modeling thousands of single nucleotide polymorphisms concurrently. However, it is currently unclear how gains in explained genetic variance will translate to the prediction of yet-to-be observed phenotypes. Using data from the Framingham Heart Study, we explore the genomic prediction of human height in training and validation samples while varying the statistical approach used, the number of SNPs included in the model, the validation scheme, and the number of subjects used to train the model. In our training datasets, we are able to explain a large proportion of the variation in height (h(2) up to 0.83, R(2) up to 0.96). However, the proportion of variance accounted for in validation samples is much smaller (ranging from 0.15 to 0.36 depending on the degree of familial information used in the training dataset). While such R(2) values vastly exceed what has been previously reported using a reduced number of pre-selected markers (<0.10), given the heritability of the trait (∼ 0.80), substantial room for improvement remains.

Indexed as

Genome, HumanQuantitative Trait, HeritableBayes TheoremBody HeightGenome-Wide Association StudyGenotypeHumansPhenotypePolymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Identifiers

PMID21552331
PMCPMC3084207

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.