Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21471433›Full record

ArticleScience translational medicine2011

Genital HIV-1 RNA predicts risk of heterosexual HIV-1 transmission.

Jared M Baeten, Erin Kahle, Jairam R Lingappa, Robert W Coombs, Sinead Delany-Moretlwe, Edith Nakku-Joloba, Nelly R Mugo, Anna Wald, Lawrence Corey, Deborah Donnell and 4 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science translational medicine, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02445989 (Effects of Contraceptive Ring on Vaginal Microbiota, HIV Shedding and Local Immunity), which is not on this map. Cited by 170 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
170citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02445989 phase4completednot on this mapstarted 2016, after this paper: background citation

Effects of Contraceptive Ring on Vaginal Microbiota, HIV Shedding and Local Immunity

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of WashingtonRan2016 to 2018Enrolled120ConditionsBacterial Vaginosis, HIVArmsNuvaRing
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

170 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  14. Comparison of sampling methods to measure HIV RNA viral load in female genital tract secretions.American journal of reproductive immunology (New York, N.Y. : 1989) · 2017
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  20. Changes in HIV-1 subtypes B and C genital tract RNA in women and men after initiation of antiretroviral therapy.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2013
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110 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Jared M BaetenDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA. jbaeten@u.washington.edu
Erin Kahle
Jairam R Lingappa
Robert W Coombs
Sinead Delany-Moretlwe
Edith Nakku-Joloba
Nelly R Mugo
Anna Wald
Lawrence Corey
Deborah Donnell
Mary S Campbell
James I Mullins
Connie Celum
Partners in Prevention HSV/HIV Transmission Study Team

Funding

WOMEN'S HEALTH AGENDAU01AI038858 · NIAID · SOCIAL AND SCIENTIFIC SYSTEMS, INC. · PI BENSON, CONSTANCE ANN · 1996 to 2008
$157.5M
University of Washington/Fred Hutch Center for AIDS ResearchP30AI027757 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Kenneth Sherr · 1988 to 2026
$104.9M
Viral Determinants of HIV-1 Transmission in African HeterosexualsP01AI057005 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI COREY, LAWRENCE · 2003 to 2014
$20.5M
NIAID NIH HHS AI027757NIAID NIH HHS AI038858NIAID NIH HHS P01 AI057005NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI027757NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI038858
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

High plasma HIV-1 RNA concentrations are associated with an increased risk of HIV-1 transmission. Although plasma and genital HIV-1 RNA concentrations are correlated, no study has evaluated the relationship between genital HIV-1 RNA and the risk of heterosexual HIV-1 transmission. In a prospective study of 2521 African HIV-1 serodiscordant couples, we assessed genital HIV-1 RNA quantity and HIV-1 transmission risk. HIV-1 transmission linkage was established within the partnership by viral sequence analysis. We tested endocervical samples from 1805 women, including 46 who transmitted HIV-1 to their partner, and semen samples from 716 men, including 32 who transmitted HIV-1 to their partner. There was a correlation between genital and plasma HIV-1 RNA concentrations: For endocervical swabs, Spearman's rank correlation coefficient ρ was 0.56, and for semen, ρ was 0.55. Each 1.0 log(10) increase in genital HIV-1 RNA was associated with a 2.20-fold (for endocervical swabs: 95% confidence interval, 1.60 to 3.04) and a 1.79-fold (for semen: 95% confidence interval, 1.30 to 2.47) increased risk of HIV-1 transmission. Genital HIV-1 RNA independently predicted HIV-1 transmission risk after adjusting for plasma HIV-1 quantity (hazard ratio, 1.67 for endocervical swabs and 1.68 for semen). Seven female-to-male and four male-to-female HIV-1 transmissions (incidence <1% per year) occurred from persons with undetectable genital HIV-1 RNA, but in all 11 cases, plasma HIV-1 RNA was detected. Thus, higher genital HIV-1 RNA concentrations are associated with greater risk of heterosexual HIV-1 transmission, and this effect was independent of plasma HIV-1 concentrations. These data suggest that HIV-1 RNA in genital secretions could be used as a marker of HIV-1 sexual transmission risk.

Indexed as

AdultFemaleHeterosexualityHIV InfectionsHumansMaleRNA, ViralSemenVaginal SmearsRNA, Viral

Identifiers

PMID21471433
PMCPMC3087186

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.