Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21436998›Full record

ArticleInterdisciplinary perspectives on infectious diseases2011

Pathogens, social networks, and the paradox of transmission scaling.

Matthew J Ferrari, Sarah E Perkins, Laura W Pomeroy, Ottar N Bjørnstad

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Interdisciplinary perspectives on infectious diseases, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Influence of Population Density for COVID-19 Spread in Malaysia: An Ecological Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Optimizing testing for COVID-19 in India.PLoS computational biology · 2021
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Viruses · 2020
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Estimating the distance to an epidemic threshold.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2018
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Matthew J FerrariCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA.
Sarah E Perkins
Laura W Pomeroy
Ottar N Bjørnstad

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the scaling of transmission is critical to predicting how infectious diseases will affect populations of different sizes and densities. The two classic "mean-field" epidemic models-either assuming density-dependent or frequency-dependent transmission-make predictions that are discordant with patterns seen in either within-population dynamics or across-population comparisons. In this paper, we propose that the source of this inconsistency lies in the greatly simplifying "mean-field" assumption of transmission within a fully-mixed population. Mixing in real populations is more accurately represented by a network of contacts, with interactions and infectious contacts confined to the local social neighborhood. We use network models to show that density-dependent transmission on heterogeneous networks often leads to apparent frequency dependency in the scaling of transmission across populations of different sizes. Network-methodology allows us to reconcile seemingly conflicting patterns of within- and across-population epidemiology.

Identifiers

PMID21436998
PMCPMC3062980

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.