Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21432843›Full record

ArticleCancer2011

Rising incidence of second cancers in patients with low-risk (T1N0) thyroid cancer who receive radioactive iodine therapy.

N Gopalakrishna Iyer, Luc G T Morris, R Michael Tuttle, Ashok R Shaha, Ian Ganly

Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02408887 (Randomized Controlled Trial of Total Thyroidectomy With and Without Prophylactic Central Neck Lymph Node Dissection in Patients With Low-risk Papillary Thyroid Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 105 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
105citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
17.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02408887 phase2terminatednot on this mapstarted 2015, after this paper: background citation

Randomized Controlled Trial of Total Thyroidectomy With and Without Prophylactic Central Neck Lymph Node Dissection in Patients With Low-risk Papillary Thyroid Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorNational Cancer Institute (NCI)Ran2015 to 2019Enrolled14ConditionsLow-risk Papillary Thyroid Cancer, Endocrine Malignancy, Thyroid CancerArmsTotal Thyroidectomy (TT), Prophylactic central neck lymph node dissection (pCND)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

105 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 319 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Management Guidelines for Children with Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer.Thyroid : official journal of the American Thyroid Association · 2015
    Guideline
  5. Pooled it
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Biochemical and structural response in patients with tall cell papillary thyroid cancer: a dual centre retrospective study : Early Recurrence in Tall Cell PTC.European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Absorbed dose coefficients for pediatric differentiated thyroid cancer patients undergoing radioiodine therapy.Journal of radiological protection : official journal of the Society for Radiological Protection · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. The epidemiology of lung cancer following radiation exposure.International journal of radiation biology · 2023
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

45 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

N Gopalakrishna IyerHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York, USA.
Luc G T Morris
R Michael Tuttle
Ashok R Shaha
Ian Ganly
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · US

Funding

HEAD AND NECK TRAINING PROGRAM SURGICAL ONCOLOGYT32CA009685 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI FAGIN, JAMES A, WONG, RICHARD J · 1992 to 2022
$3.6M
NCI NIH HHS T32 CA009685
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAmerican Thyroid Association guidelines currently recommend the selective use of radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy in patients with well differentiated thyroid cancer (WDTC). Despite these guidelines, RAI ablation has been used routinely in all but the very lowest risk patients with thyroid cancer over the last 30 years. The objective of this study was to evaluate patterns of RAI use and elevated risk of secondary primary malignancies (SPM) in patients with low-risk (T1N0) WDTC.

methodsThe Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was used to analyze trends in RAI use over time in the United States. To determine the excess risk of SPM, the standardized incidence ratio (SIR) and excess absolute risk (EAR) of various cancers were calculated in the 2 cohorts. Between 1973 and 2007, 37,176 patients with WDTC were followed in the SEER Program, equating to 408,750 person-years at risk (PYR). In total, 14,589 patients received RAI, and SPMs were observed in 3223 patients.

resultsDuring the study period, the rate of RAI use in patients with low-risk (T1N0) WDTC increased from 3.3% to 38.1%. For low-risk patients, the SIR of SPM was 1.21 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.93-1.54), and the EAR was 4.6 excess cases per 10,000 PYR. SPM with significantly elevated risk because of RAI were salivary gland malignancies (SIR = 11.13; 95% CI, 1.35-40.2) and leukemia (SIR = 5.68; 95% CI, 2.09-12.37). The excess risk of leukemia was significantly greater in patients aged <45 years (SIR = 5.32; 95% CI, 2.75-9.30) compared with the excess risk in older patients (SIR = 2.26; 95% CI, 1.43-3.39).

conclusionsThe increased risk of a SPM in patients with low-risk (T1N0) WDTC, along with a lack of data demonstrating improved survival outcomes with adjuvant RAI, provide a compelling argument in favor of rationing the use of RAI in this patient population.

Indexed as

Adenocarcinoma, FollicularCarcinoma, PapillaryCell DifferentiationFemaleHumansIncidenceIodine RadioisotopesMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasms, Radiation-InducedNeoplasms, Second PrimaryPrognosisRisk FactorsSEER ProgramSurvival RateThyroid NeoplasmsIodine Radioisotopes

Identifiers

PMID21432843
PMCPMC3155861
OpenAlexW2098724902

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.