Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21406079›Full record

ArticleJournal of the International AIDS Society2011

A decade of modelling research yields considerable evidence for the importance of concurrency: a response to Sawers and Stillwaggon.

Steven M Goodreau

Abstract readComment
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  18. Article
  19. Gender inequality and HIV transmission: a global analysis.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2014
    Article
  20. Measuring and modelling concurrency.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2013
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Steven M GoodreauDepartment of Anthropology, University of Washington, WA 98195, USA. goodreau@uw.edu

Funding

Methods and Data CoreR24HD042828 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI CURRAN, SARA R. · 2002 to 2016
$9.3M
NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD042828
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In their recent article, Sawers and Stillwaggon critique the "concurrency hypothesis" on a number of grounds. In this commentary, I focus on one thread of their argument, pertaining to the evidence derived from modelling work. Their analysis focused on the foundational papers of Morris and Kretzschmar; here, I explore the research that has been conducted since then, which Sawers and Stillwaggon leave out of their review. I explain the methodological limitations that kept progress on the topic slow at first, and the various forms of methodological development that were pursued to overcome these. I then highlight recent modelling work that addresses the various limitations Sawers and Stillwaggon outline in their article. Collectively, this line of research provides considerable support for the modelling aspects of the concurrency hypothesis, and renders their critique of the literature incomplete and obsolete. It also makes clear that their call for "an end (or at least a moratorium) to research on sexual behaviour in Africa" that pertains to concurrency is unjustified.

Indexed as

Epidemiologic MethodsModels, TheoreticalAcquired Immunodeficiency SyndromeAfricaHumansIncidencePrevalenceSexual Behavior

Identifiers

PMID21406079
PMCPMC3065394

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.