Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21402610›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology2011

Declining incidence of contralateral breast cancer in the United States from 1975 to 2006.

Hazel B Nichols, Amy Berrington de González, James V Lacey, Philip S Rosenberg, William F Anderson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 99 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
99citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

99 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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39 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hazel B NicholsJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Amy Berrington de González
James V Lacey
Philip S Rosenberg
William F Anderson

Funding

Descriptive Studies and Record LinkageZIACP010183 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI SHIELS, MEREDITH · 2009 to 2025
$10.7M
Intramural NIH HHS
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeContralateral breast cancer (CBC) is the most frequent new malignancy among women diagnosed with a first breast cancer. Although temporal trends for first breast cancers have been well studied, trends for CBC are not so well established. PATIENTS AND

methodsWe examined temporal trends in CBC incidence using US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (1975 to 2006). Data were stratified by estrogen receptor (ER) status of the first breast cancer for the available time period (1990+). We estimated the annual percent change (EAPC) in CBC rates using Poisson regression models adjusted for the age at and time since first breast cancer diagnosis.

resultsBefore 1985, CBC incidence rates were stable (EAPC, 0.27% per year; 95% CI, -0.4 to 0.9), after which they declined with an EAPC of -3.07% per year (95% CI, -3.5 to -2.7). From 1990 forward, the declines were restricted to CBC after an ER-positive cancer (EAPC, -3.18%; 95% CI, -4.2 to -2.2) with no clear decreases after an ER-negative cancer. Estimated current age-specific CBC rates (per 100/year) after an ER-positive first cancer were: 0.45 for first cancers diagnosed before age 30 years and 0.25 to 0.37 for age 30 years or older. Rates after an ER-negative cancer were higher: 1.26 before age 30 years, 0.85 for age 30 to 35 years, and 0.45 to 0.65 for age 40 or older.

conclusionResults show a favorable decrease of 3% per year for CBC incidence in the United States since 1985. This overall trend was driven by declining CBC rates after an ER-positive cancer, possibly because of the widespread usage of adjuvant hormone therapies, after the results of the Nolvadex Adjuvant Trial Organisation were published in 1983, and/or other adjuvant treatments.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsAntineoplastic Agents, HormonalBiomarkers, TumorBreast NeoplasmsChemotherapy, AdjuvantFemaleHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedNeoplasms, Second PrimaryReceptors, EstrogenRegression AnalysisRetrospective StudiesAntineoplastic Agents, HormonalBiomarkers, TumorReceptors, Estrogen

Identifiers

PMID21402610
PMCPMC3082975

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.