Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21367688›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2011

Assessing the ecotoxicologic hazards of a pandemic influenza medical response.

Andrew C Singer, Vittoria Colizza, Heike Schmitt, Johanna Andrews, Duygu Balcan, Wei E Huang, Virginie D J Keller, Alessandro Vespignani, Richard J Williams

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Characterisation ofInternational journal of microbiology · 2020
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Vibrio Pathogens: A Public Health Concern in Rural Water Resources in Sub-Saharan Africa.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017
    Review
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Andrew C SingerCentre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom. acsi@ceh.ac.uk
Vittoria Colizza
Heike Schmitt
Johanna Andrews
Duygu Balcan
Wei E Huang
Virginie D J Keller
Alessandro Vespignani
Richard J Williams

Funding

EpiC: A Cyberinfrastructure that Supports the Plug-and-Play of Datasets & AlgoriR21DA024259 · NIDA · TRUSTEES OF INDIANA UNIVERSITY · PI BORNER, KATY, SHERMAN, STEVEN J · 2007 to 2010
$1.2M
NIDA NIH HHS R21 DA024259NIDA NIH HHS R21-DA024259
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe global public health community has closely monitored the unfolding of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic to best mitigate its impact on society. However, little attention has been given to the impact of this response on the environment. Antivirals and antibiotics prescribed to treat influenza are excreted into wastewater in a biologically active form, which presents a new and potentially significant ecotoxicologic challenge to microorganisms responsible for wastewater nutrient removal in wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) and receiving rivers.

objectivesWe assessed the ecotoxicologic risks of a pandemic influenza medical response.

methodsTo evaluate this risk, we coupled a global spatially structured epidemic model that simulates the quantities of antivirals and antibiotics used during an influenza pandemic of varying severity and a water quality model applied to the Thames catchment to determine predicted environmental concentrations. An additional model was then used to assess the effects of antibiotics on microorganisms in WWTPs and rivers.

resultsConsistent with expectations, our model projected a mild pandemic to exhibit a negligible ecotoxicologic hazard. In a moderate and severe pandemic, we projected WWTP toxicity to vary between 0-14% and 5-32% potentially affected fraction (PAF), respectively, and river toxicity to vary between 0-14% and 0-30% PAF, respectively, where PAF is the fraction of microbial species predicted to be growth inhibited (lower and upper 95% reference range).

conclusionsThe current medical response to pandemic influenza might result in the discharge of insufficiently treated wastewater into receiving rivers, thereby increasing the risk of eutrophication and contamination of drinking water abstraction points. Widespread drugs in the environment could hasten the generation of drug resistance. Our results highlight the need for empirical data on the effects of antibiotics and antiviral medications on WWTPs and freshwater ecotoxicity.

Indexed as

Influenza, HumanAnti-Bacterial AgentsAntiviral AgentsEnvironmental MonitoringHumansPandemicsPublic HealthWater Pollutants, ChemicalAnti-Bacterial AgentsAntiviral AgentsWater Pollutants, Chemical

Identifiers

PMID21367688
PMCPMC3237342

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.