Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21335587›Full record

ArticleClinical trials (London, England)2011

Designing clinical trials to test disease-modifying agents: application to the treatment trials of Alzheimer's disease.

Chengjie Xiong, Gerald van Belle, J Philip Miller, John C Morris

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical trials (London, England), 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 30% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Observational
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Chengjie XiongDivision of Biostatistics, School of Medicine, Washington University, St. Louis, MO, USA. chengjie@wubios.wustl.edu
Gerald van Belle
J Philip Miller
John C Morris
Washington University in St. Louis · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

Smartphone-Based "Burst" Cognitive AssessmentsP01AG003991 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI RICHARD Justin PERRIN · 1985 to 2026
$69.5M
WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY ALZHEIMERS DISEASE RESEARCH CENTERP50AG005681 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI MORRIS, JOHN · 1985 to 2019
$52.1M
The natural history of AB accumulation in preclinical ADP01AG026276 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI SCHINDLER, SUZANNE ELIZABETH · 2005 to 2025
$49.5M
Improving Cognitive Outcome Precision & Responsiveness with Modern PsychometricsR01AG029672 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI CRANE, PAUL K · 2007 to 2021
$7.0M
TWO PRECLINICAL LATENT SCORES TO PREDICT OCCURRENCE OF DATR01AG034119 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI XIONG, CHENGJIE · 2010 to 2014
$1.6M
Statistics in Alzheimer's PublicationsK25AG025189 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI XIONG, CHENGJIE · 2005 to 2007
$354k
NIA NIH HHS AG003991NIA NIH HHS AG005681NIA NIH HHS AG026276NIA NIH HHS K25 AG025189NIA NIH HHS P01 AG003991NIA NIH HHS P01 AG026276NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005681NIA NIH HHS R01 AG029672NIA NIH HHS R01 AG034119
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTherapeutic trials of disease-modifying agents on Alzheimer's disease (AD) require novel designs and analyses involving switch of treatments for at least a portion of subjects enrolled. Randomized start and randomized withdrawal designs are two examples of such designs. Crucial design parameters such as sample size and the time of treatment switch are important to understand in designing such clinical trials. PURPOSE: The purpose of this article is to provide methods to determine sample sizes and time of treatment switch as well as optimum statistical tests of treatment efficacy for clinical trials of disease-modifying agents on AD.

methodsA general linear mixed effects model is proposed to test the disease-modifying efficacy of novel therapeutic agents on AD. This model links the longitudinal growth from both the placebo arm and the treatment arm at the time of treatment switch for these in the delayed treatment arm or early withdrawal arm and incorporates the potential correlation on the rate of cognitive change before and after the treatment switch. Sample sizes and the optimum time for treatment switch of such trials as well as optimum test statistic for the treatment efficacy are determined according to the model.

resultsAssuming an evenly spaced longitudinal design over a fixed duration, the optimum treatment switching time in a randomized start or a randomized withdrawal trial is half way through the trial. With the optimum test statistic for the treatment efficacy and over a wide spectrum of model parameters, the optimum sample size allocations are fairly close to the simplest design with a sample size ratio of 1:1:1 among the treatment arm, the delayed treatment or early withdrawal arm, and the placebo arm. The application of the proposed methodology to AD provides evidence that much larger sample sizes are required to adequately power disease-modifying trials when compared with those for symptomatic agents, even when the treatment switch time and efficacy test are optimally chosen. LIMITATIONS: The proposed method assumes that the only and immediate effect of treatment switch is on the rate of cognitive change.

conclusionsCrucial design parameters for the clinical trials of disease-modifying agents on AD can be optimally chosen. Government and industry officials as well as academia researchers should consider the optimum use of the clinical trials design for disease-modifying agents on AD in their effort to search for the treatments with the potential to modify the underlying pathophysiology of AD.

Indexed as

Research DesignActivities of Daily LivingAlzheimer DiseaseCholinesterase InhibitorsCognitionHealth Status IndicatorsHumansLinear ModelsModels, StatisticalPsychometricsSample SizeTime FactorsCholinesterase Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID21335587
PMCPMC3146242
OpenAlexW2031392906

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.