Evidence map›Paper›PMID 21266341›Full record

ArticleArchives of disease in childhood2011

Risk score to stratify children with suspected serious bacterial infection: observational cohort study.

Andrew J Brent, Monica Lakhanpaul, Matthew Thompson, Jacqueline Collier, Samiran Ray, Nelly Ninis, Michael Levin, Roddy MacFaul

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Archives of disease in childhood, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02496559 (Children With Fever and Respiratory Symptoms at Out-of-hours Services in Norway), which is not on this map. Cited by 20 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02496559 naterminatednot on this mapstarted 2013, after this paper: background citation

Children With Fever and Respiratory Symptoms at Out-of-hours Services in Norway

TypeinterventionalSponsorNORCE Norwegian Research Centre ASRan2013 to 2015Enrolled401ConditionsChildrenArmsPre-consultation CRP
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 48 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Article
  7. Accuracy of the NICE traffic light system in children presenting to general practice: a retrospective cohort study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2022
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. The Diagnostic Accuracy of Serum Procalcitonin for Bacteremia in Critically Ill Children.Infectious diseases in clinical practice (Baltimore, Md.) · 2016
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Bacteremia in Early Infancy: Etiology and Management.Current infectious disease reports · 2016
    Article
  15. Translation of clinical prediction rules for febrile children to primary care practice: an observational cohort study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2015
    Observational
  16. Leukocyte populations and C-reactive protein as predictors of bacterial infections in febrile outpatient children.Turkish journal of haematology : official journal of Turkish Society of Haematology · 2014
    Article
  17. Use of alarm features in referral of febrile children to the emergency department: an observational study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2014
    Observational
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 7 institutions in 3 countries.

Andrew J BrentWorking Group on Recognising Acute Illness in Children, Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health, London, UK. dr.a.brent@gmail.com
Monica Lakhanpaul
Matthew Thompson
Jacqueline Collier
Samiran Ray
Nelly Ninis
Michael Levin
Roddy MacFaul
Imperial College London · GBGreat Ormond Street Hospital · GBKenya Medical Research Institute · KEOregon Health & Science University · USPinderfields Hospital · GBUniversity of Leicester · GBUniversity of Nottingham · GB

Funding

Wellcome Trust 081697
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo derive and validate a clinical score to risk stratify children presenting with acute infection. STUDY DESIGN AND

participantsObservational cohort study of children presenting with suspected infection to an emergency department in England. Detailed data were collected prospectively on presenting clinical features, laboratory investigations and outcome. Clinical predictors of serious bacterial infection (SBI) were explored in multivariate logistic regression models using part of the dataset, each model was then validated in an independent part of the dataset, and the best model was chosen for derivation of a clinical risk score for SBI. The ability of this score to risk stratify children with SBI was then assessed in the entire dataset.

main outcome measureFinal diagnosis of SBI according to criteria defined by the Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health working group on Recognising Acute Illness in Children.

resultsData from 1951 children were analysed. 74 (3.8%) had SBI. The sensitivity of individual clinical signs was poor, although some were highly specific for SBI. A score was derived with reasonable ability to discriminate SBI (area under the receiver operator characteristics curve 0.77, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.83) and risk stratify children with suspected SBI.

conclusionsThis study demonstrates the potential utility of a clinical score in risk stratifying children with suspected SBI. Further work should aim to validate the score and its impact on clinical decision making in different settings, and ideally incorporate it into a broader management algorithm including additional investigations to further stratify a child's risk.

Indexed as

Acute DiseaseAdolescentBacterial InfectionsChildChild, PreschoolEmergency Service, HospitalEpidemiologic MethodsFemaleHumansInfantMale

Identifiers

PMID21266341
PMCPMC3158666
OpenAlexW2163235407

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.